Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
15 signals across 3 markets · $89,656 tracked · resolves Jun 2, 2026
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians is an MLB prediction market event centered on the May 26 matchup, with trading focused on outcomes like the Guardians -1.5 spread. PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal from a 96% winner on a thin spread market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable timer Under cluster
Three wallets bought $18.5k of Under right before resolution, led by a high-volume profitable wallet and supported by a serial near-resolution timing pattern.
$18,543Score: 13.0 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 81% record bought $3,000 of Washington while the market rapidly moved 31 points upward.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 9.1 - 99% winner on MLB total
Elite sharp bettor with a 99% documented win rate and $6.16M profit bought $7.5k of Under on a relatively quiet MLB total market.
$7,500Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.3 - New bettor chasing momentum
A 2-day-old repeat bettor with early profit bought Washington Nationals at 90¢ during a rapid 31-point price move, suggesting momentum-driven conviction despite a still-limited track record.
$1,404Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 8.1 - 99% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win record is buying Cleveland at 55¢ in an MLB market.
$2,702Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor put $15.6k on Under, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
$15,599Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 5.0 - 90% winner backs Cleveland
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Cleveland in a liquid MLB market.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0 - 83% winner buying Cleveland
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% record over 138 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and bought Cleveland at 50¢ before it moved to 55¢.
$1,119Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.2 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $12.8M lifetime profit bought $10.3k of Under at 52¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
$10,318Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is exiting Cleveland exposure, which converts to a Washington buy, though this looks more like a position close than a fresh large bet.
$1,080Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3dfb15…abaf$31,443 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 47% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$10,318 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x7a8885…41cc$4,630 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x34b881…81af$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x09af20…9728$2,702 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x204f72…5e14$1,817 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x24fdb3…1250$1,404 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xbf39c3…3394$1,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Nationals vs Guardians prediction market odds?
This event tracks Polymarket-style odds for Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians, including the available spread market on Cleveland Guardians -1.5. Odds can move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, injuries, and game-day betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Nationals vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money across this event from 1 signal. The latest alert noted a 96% winner entering a thin spread market, which can be meaningful but should be interpreted carefully because low-liquidity markets can move quickly.
What does Cleveland Guardians -1.5 mean?
Cleveland Guardians -1.5 is a spread market. For that outcome to win, Cleveland must beat Washington by at least 2 runs; if the Guardians win by exactly 1 run or lose, the spread does not cash.
When does the Nationals vs Guardians market resolve?
The event is tied to the MLB game scheduled for May 26 at 6:10 PM ET and is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; if canceled with no makeup or it ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.