Event

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

20 signals across 5 markets · $243,304 tracked · resolves Jun 3, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks prediction-market odds for the Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB game, with trading focused on the Cleveland Guardians -1.5 spread market. PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart-money activity on this event, including a recent signal that a 96% winner backed the spread.

WSH
2
29-28
Final
CLE
3
33-25
WSH +148CLE -180O/U 7.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
19,559

Markets (5)

  1. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians13 signals · $223,249 tracked
  2. Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)4 signals · $16,347 tracked
  3. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.51 signal · $1,440 tracked
  4. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.51 signal · $1,213 tracked
  5. Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.51 signal · $1,054 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 93% win-rate MLB sharp

    A highly proven sports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and nearly $900k profit is buying Under in this MLB total.

    $1,054Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.6
  2. Profitable Nationals cluster

    Four profitable, high-volume wallets bought Nationals at 34–35¢ in coordinated flow before the market jumped to 50¢ amid a major volume spike.

    $11,567Score: 10.2
  3. 5-wallet Cleveland buy wave

    High-score coordinated pregame flow: five wallets bought $51K of Cleveland during a 62x volume spike, though wallet track records are not especially sharp.

    $51,143Score: 8.6
  4. Brand-new whale backing Guardians

    A brand-new wallet put $52k into Cleveland across five buys, driving a major pre-game volume spike despite having no resolved track record yet.

    $52,112Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.2
  5. Fresh whale backs Cleveland

    Brand-new wallet made a $13.5k Cleveland bet as part of $52k in repeat flagged large bets, with a major volume spike supporting unusual attention despite no resolved track record.

    $13,543Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.2
  6. 93% win-rate sports sharp

    Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $144,755 profit is making a large $39k Cleveland Guardians buy.

    $39,173Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0
  7. 91% winner buying Under

    A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% long-term win rate bought Under at 48¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.

    $1,440Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0
  8. Brand-new MLB whale

    A brand-new wallet immediately deployed $38.6k on Cleveland across three buys, coinciding with a major pre-game volume spike.

    $38,569Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 7.4
  9. Profitable serial sports bettor

    Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Washington at 35¢ before a major volume spike and the price has already moved to 50¢.

    $3,680Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.7
  10. Profitable serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Washington at 35¢ ahead of a large pre-event volume spike, and the market has already moved to 50¢.

    $2,770Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 5.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb188988d5b$104,225 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 82% wins
  2. 0x594d0c059d$39,173 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  3. 0xbd14b6d62a$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  4. 0xbca08c9705$3,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  5. 0x526852135d$3,663 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 53% wins
  6. 0xd48a816e90$3,345 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
  7. 0x32ed51f960$2,770 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
  8. 0x8a2696937e$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  9. 0xe1a24214b8$2,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
  10. 0xec8d7bdd71$1,954 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for Nationals vs. Guardians?

This event page tracks the live Polymarket pricing for the Nationals vs. Guardians game, including the active spread market for Cleveland Guardians -1.5. Prices move as traders react to lineups, pitching news, market flow, and game-day information.

What is the main market being traded for this game?

The listed child market is the spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5). That means traders are betting on whether Cleveland can win by at least 2 runs, rather than simply whether they win the game outright.

What is the smart money doing on Nationals vs. Guardians?

PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart-money activity across this event. The latest alert headline shows that a 96% winner backed the spread, which suggests notable sharp interest in the Cleveland -1.5 market.

When does the Nationals vs. Guardians market resolve?

The market is tied to the MLB game scheduled for May 27 at 1:10 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.