Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
7 signals across 2 markets · $397,008 tracked · resolves Apr 23, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game, including the game winner and the over/under 8.5 runs market. PolySpotter has flagged $397,008 in smart money activity across 7 signals, including linked sharp buying on the Nationals, a Pirates pile-in, and a last-minute whale wallet.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked sharp cluster buys Nationals
A linked 3-wallet cluster piled nearly $190k into the Nationals, led by a bettor with an 86% win rate and $3.8M in profit, making this coordinated sports buy worth following despite the market’s solid liquidity.
$189,404Score: 23.2 - 86% winner in 6-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 86% win rate joined a 6-wallet, partially linked $269k cluster buying Washington Nationals, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
$78,646Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 15.6 - 6-wallet Nationals cluster
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 6-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Washington Nationals, adding to a strong coordinated signal despite this wallet's modest individual stake.
$3,772Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 10.6 - 4-wallet Pirates pile-in
Four wallets piled $51k into Pittsburgh in minutes, and the flow includes a high-volume trader with a solid 72% win rate and positive lifetime P&L entering before the price jumped from 60¢ to 72¢.
$51,261Score: 9.0 - New wallet last-minute whale
A very new wallet placed two large live bets totaling $24.3k on Over at 50¢ just 1-2 minutes before resolution, a strong conviction timing play even without a long track record yet.
$24,338Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 8.0 - Sharp bettor backs Pirates
Surface this alert because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and $3.56M P&L just put nearly $20k on the Pirates at 60¢.
$19,948Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate put nearly $30k on the Pirates during a major pregame volume surge, making this a credible follow signal despite the otherwise liquid market.
$29,640Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x63a51c…8e33$78,646 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x1f28a0…266e$29,640 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x861ae6…1f15$24,338 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xd38ad2…8d26$19,948 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x86fbea…03d4$3,772 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
FAQs
What odds are available for Nationals vs Pirates on Polymarket?
This event includes markets for the game winner — Washington Nationals or Pittsburgh Pirates — plus a totals market on over/under 8.5 runs.
What is the smart money doing on Nationals vs Pirates?
PolySpotter has tracked $397,008 in smart money activity across this event, with notable alerts including a linked sharp cluster buying Nationals, a 6-wallet Nationals cluster, a 4-wallet Pirates pile-in, and a last-minute whale wallet.
Are sharps betting the Nationals or Pirates?
Recent signals show sharp activity on both sides, but the strongest cluster headlines point to linked buying on the Nationals, including an 86% winner in a 6-wallet cluster.
When does the Nationals vs Pirates market resolve?
The market resolves after the April 16 MLB game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the make-up game is finished; if canceled entirely or tied, it resolves 50-50.
Does this event include the over/under market?
Yes. In addition to the winner market, this event also tracks Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5, letting traders price the expected run total.