"Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office
5 signals across 3 markets · $32,579 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks where Mortal Kombat II will land at the domestic box office over its 3-day opening weekend, with markets covering ranges from $35M–$40M, $45M–$50M, and above $50M. PolySpotter has tracked $32,579 in smart money activity across the event, including profitable box-office thesis wallets, cross-market bettors, and a large thin-market NO bet.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable thin-market bettor
A profitable 71% bettor made a large net NO bet that overwhelmed a very thin box-office market, suggesting a strong view on this bracket being mispriced.
$11,956Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.0 - Profitable box-office thesis wallet
A profitable wallet is making a sizeable thin-market No bet as part of a $21.9k cross-market box-office thesis, though the trade is on a heavy favorite with limited upside.
$4,405Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet is positioning across multiple related box-office markets, and this thin-market Yes buy has already moved from 29¢ to 38¢.
$1,133Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 5.0 - Profitable cross-market box-office bettor
Profitable wallet is expressing a cross-market box-office thesis, effectively buying this bracket at 11¢ after positioning across three related markets.
$4,262Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0 - Large thin-market NO bet
A single wallet put $10.8k on No in a very thin box-office bracket market, nearly 5x the market’s 24h volume, with the movie opening in days.
$10,823Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 2.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb94c97…b5b5$32,579 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Mortal Kombat II opening weekend?
The event includes multiple prediction markets tied to Mortal Kombat II’s domestic 3-day opening weekend gross, including brackets for $35M–$40M, $45M–$50M, and greater than $50M. The live odds show which box office range traders currently think is most likely.
What is smart money doing on this Mortal Kombat II box office market?
PolySpotter has tracked $32,579 in smart money across 5 signals for this event. Recent activity includes profitable box-office thesis wallets, profitable cross-market bettors, and a large thin-market NO bet, suggesting experienced traders are actively positioning across the available gross ranges.
How does this Mortal Kombat II prediction market resolve?
The market resolves based on the final domestic 3-day opening weekend gross for Mortal Kombat II from The Numbers, covering May 8 through May 10. Final reported figures, not studio estimates, are used.
What outcomes can traders bet on for Mortal Kombat II’s opening weekend?
Traders can bet on whether Mortal Kombat II finishes in specific domestic box office ranges, including $35M–$40M, $45M–$50M, or above $50M. Because this is an event hub, the page tracks all related outcome markets together.
When will the Mortal Kombat II opening weekend market settle?
The event is expected to resolve by May 11, 2026, after final opening weekend box office data for May 8–10 is available from The Numbers.