Warriors vs. Kings
41 signals across 5 markets · $570,212 tracked · resolves Apr 11, 2026
Warriors vs. Kings is an NBA prediction-market event covering the moneyline, Warriors spread markets around -10.5 and -11.5, and game totals at 229.5 and 230.5. PolySpotter is tracking $570K+ in smart money activity across 41 signals, including repeated 12-wallet clusters on the Warriors and a notable 12-wallet Kings pile-in.

Markets (5)
Top trades across all markets
- 12-wallet Warriors cluster
A 12-wallet cluster put $125.8k into Warriors in minutes, including 6 linked wallets and a heavily active new wallet, creating a sharp one-sided move in a major NBA market despite mixed individual track records.
$125,803Score: 36.4 - 12-wallet Kings pile-in
A 12-wallet cluster piled into Kings for $53.5k during a huge pregame volume spike, and several of the wallets have unusually strong long-term records including one with a 96% win rate.
$53,530Score: 34.2 - 12-wallet Warriors cluster
A large coordinated cluster of 12 wallets, including 6 linked by funding source, piled into Warriors despite a sharp price collapse, and this wallet is an experienced serial cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L.
$1,557Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 22.1 - 12-wallet Warriors cluster
A large coordinated cluster of 12 wallets, including 6 linked by funding source, piled into Warriors while this wallet is a high-volume serial sports trader, making the flow notable despite the trade now sitting well underwater.
$1,230Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 22.1 - 12-wallet Warriors cluster
A 12-wallet coordinated cluster, including 6 linked wallets, put over $125k on Warriors into a major pre-game volume spike, making this concentrated directional flow worth watching despite the price moving against this specific entry.
$4,671Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 21.1 - Sharp bettor joins Kings cluster
A proven high-win-rate sports trader joined an 11-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Kings into a strong pre-game volume spike and upward price move.
$1,974Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 17.4 - 49-0 sharp joins Kings cluster
A historically perfect sports-style bettor with 49 resolved wins bought Kings alongside a 6-wallet one-sided cluster during a sharp pregame volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
$1,973Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 17.0 - 11-wallet Kings cluster
A repeat new wallet with an early perfect record joined an 11-wallet linked cluster buying Kings into a large one-sided surge that pushed the price higher.
$1,973Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 16.4 - 92% win-rate sports bettor
A very sharp sports trader with a 92% win rate and $1.66M profit bought Warriors alongside two other wallets during a major volume spike, making this coordinated dip-buy worth surfacing.
$1,478Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 16.3 - Last-minute funded cluster
A funded 2-wallet cluster put about $11k on Over in the final minute of a live NBA total amid an extreme volume spike, which is notable despite the wallet’s only average hit rate.
$9,844Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 15.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x63a51c…8e33$88,608 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xd9adcb…a55c$24,298 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x32ed51…f960$11,053 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$9,989 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xd1001f…853d$9,844 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$9,638 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xc69020…42b8$9,256 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x5d1d9c…afd2$7,713 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 54% wins
- 0x034b55…b22b$6,664 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x3354c1…5042$4,729 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the Warriors vs. Kings prediction-market odds?
This event includes multiple Polymarket outcomes for Warriors vs. Kings, including the outright winner, Warriors spread lines, and over/under totals. Check the live market prices to see the current implied odds for each outcome.
What is smart money doing on Warriors vs. Kings?
PolySpotter has tracked $570,212 in smart money activity across 41 signals for this event. Recent alerts show repeated 12-wallet Warriors clusters, along with a 12-wallet Kings pile-in, suggesting active sharp interest on both sides.
Which markets are included in the Warriors vs. Kings event?
The event hub covers five related markets: Warriors vs. Kings moneyline, Warriors -10.5, Warriors -11.5, over/under 229.5, and over/under 230.5. This lets traders compare betting activity across the game result, spread, and total.
When does the Warriors vs. Kings market resolve?
The market resolves after the final score is known, including overtime if needed. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.
How should I use the smart money signals for this NBA game?
Smart money signals can highlight where experienced or high-conviction wallets are moving, but they are not guarantees. For Warriors vs. Kings, comparing wallet clusters against the live odds, spreads, and totals can help you spot where market pressure is building.