Thunder vs. Hawks
8 signals across 4 markets · $19,026 tracked · resolves Oct 12, 2026
The Thunder vs. Hawks Polymarket event tracks which team will win the October 12 NBA game, with markets for a Thunder or Hawks victory. PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $2,886, with a recent alert showing a 93% winner adding to Thunder; this is a trading signal, not the market’s implied win probability.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable wallets favor Thunder
Three-wallet flow favors Thunder, including trades from two highly profitable wallets, though one Hawks sale appears to reduce an existing losing position.
$3,567Score: 6.6 - 84% winner adding to Under
A highly profitable bettor with 223 resolved positions added to an existing Under position, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite modest trade size.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.8 - 93% winner adding to Thunder
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an existing Thunder position at 33¢.
$2,886Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet Hawks cluster with winning records
Three wallets added $5,397 to Hawks, including two with perfect records and substantial positive P&L, alongside a sharp volume spike.
$5,397Score: 5.1 - Profitable serial bettor backing Thunder
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and extensive cross-market history has put about $2,262 on Thunder.
$2,262Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial trader adding to Hawks
A highly profitable bettor with a 75% win rate across 363 resolved trades is adding to an existing Hawks position, though the market price has since fallen below their entry.
$1,775Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7 - Proven 85% winner backs Thunder
A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate across more than 10,000 resolved bets is backing Thunder at even odds.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.7 - Profitable bettor adding to Hawks
A profitable bettor with 234 resolved trades and a meaningful edge added $1,000 to Hawks as the price rose sharply.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 3.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe156c8…134b$2,886 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf3a6ac…71bd$2,262 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$1,775 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x712465…cc9c$1,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xa33407…d96f$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xdd5ef1…9040$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Thunder vs. Hawks Polymarket odds?
Check the event’s live markets for current odds on a Thunder win or a Hawks win. Odds can change as traders buy and sell.
What is smart money doing on Thunder vs. Hawks?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $2,886. Its recent alert says a 93% winner is adding to Thunder; that describes the trader’s record and position activity, not a 93% chance that Thunder will win.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The event covers the two game outcomes: Thunder win and Hawks win. The result includes overtime.
When does the Thunder vs. Hawks market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the game on October 12, 2026. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled without a make-up game, it resolves 50-50.