Event

Thunder vs. Spurs

146 signals across 21 markets · $1,490,295 tracked · resolves May 25, 2026

Thunder vs. Spurs is an NBA prediction market for the May 24 matchup, with traders pricing which team will win after regulation and any overtime. PolySpotter is tracking $1,173 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent signal showing a 94% winner buying Thunder.

OKC
64-18
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -2.5O/U: 219.5ML: +124/-148
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (21)

  1. Thunder vs. Spurs65 signals · $777,927 tracked
  2. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.516 signals · $304,513 tracked
  3. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.512 signals · $191,246 tracked
  4. Spread: Spurs (-2.5)9 signals · $48,805 tracked
  5. Spread: Spurs (-5.5)5 signals · $30,523 tracked
  6. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.57 signals · $25,156 tracked
  7. Spread: Thunder (-6.5)3 signals · $13,274 tracked
  8. Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $13,224 tracked
  9. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.56 signals · $11,740 tracked
  10. Spread: Spurs (-11.5)4 signals · $11,641 tracked
  11. Spread: Thunder (-9.5)1 signal · $11,390 tracked
  12. Spread: Spurs (-1.5)4 signals · $9,455 tracked
  13. Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.51 signal · $8,236 tracked
  14. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.52 signals · $8,000 tracked
  15. Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.51 signal · $6,987 tracked
  16. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.53 signals · $6,122 tracked
  17. 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)1 signal · $4,316 tracked
  18. Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.52 signals · $2,547 tracked
  19. Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.51 signal · $2,378 tracked
  20. Spread: Spurs (-8.5)1 signal · $1,542 tracked
  21. Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.51 signal · $1,272 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 104-0 serial timer

    Elite 104-0 bettor with major profit bought Spurs seconds before resolution amid one-sided coordinated flow.

    $9,860Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 26.7
  2. Linked sharp Spurs cluster

    High-scoring Spurs cluster with 14 wallets, linked funding, and several highly profitable bettors buying the same side despite a liquid market.

    $44,337Score: 26.6
  3. Sharp cluster on underdog

    Seven wallets put $84.5k on Thunder, led by two highly profitable bettors with 92% and 82% historical win rates, despite Thunder trading as a 22% underdog.

    $84,541Score: 23.6
  4. Profitable wallets piling into Over

    Strong Over cluster led by a $65k profitable new wallet and backed by seasoned high-win-rate bettors amid a major pre-game volume spike.

    $67,240Score: 23.0
  5. 14-wallet linked cluster

    High-conviction coordinated Thunder flow: 14 wallets bought the same side for $172.8k alongside a major volume spike, though the highlighted wallet itself has a poor long-term record.

    $21,480Wallet win rate: 46%Score: 22.7
  6. 92% sharp leads Thunder cluster

    Surface because a 92% winning, highly profitable sports bettor is part of a six-wallet Thunder cluster, with additional new-wallet profit signals despite the trade moving against them so far.

    $18,819Score: 22.3
  7. Elite serial timer buying Thunder

    Elite profitable serial timer bought Thunder minutes before resolution, with supporting one-sided flow from other wallets.

    $14,697Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 21.4
  8. 92% winner joins 19-wallet push

    A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Thunder alongside a large 19-wallet one-sided flow, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already moving above entry.

    $5,200Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 20.3
  9. Sharp timers buying Over

    Three profitable sports wallets bought Over at 48¢ near resolution, led by a 40-for-40 bettor and a serial last-minute trader up $815k.

    $5,018Score: 19.1
  10. Sharp winner leads 19-wallet Thunder buy

    High-conviction Thunder buy from an 82% lifetime winner, reinforced by 19-wallet same-side flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

    $4,258Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 17.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9b1e0382c9$200,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
  2. 0xb6d6e9be17$124,721 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 65% wins
  3. 0x3496068fc4$95,687 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 67% wins
  4. 0x9f2fe02ca8$82,321 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
  5. 0x84cfff2f63$58,146 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 46% wins
  6. 0xdb859a152f$50,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  7. 0x49007e4a72$43,833 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 85% wins
  8. 0xde9f03b8f7$35,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
  9. 0xe5efd69e7a$30,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  10. 0xfea31bd227$22,463 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 59% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Thunder vs. Spurs prediction market odds?

The Thunder vs. Spurs market prices the chance of each team winning the game. Odds can move as traders react to injuries, lineup news, betting flow, and smart money activity.

What is the smart money doing on Thunder vs. Spurs?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,173 in smart money activity for this event, with one recent alert showing a 94% winner buying Thunder. That suggests the strongest tracked signal is currently leaning toward Thunder.

How does the Thunder vs. Spurs Polymarket market resolve?

The market resolves to Thunder if the Thunder win and to Spurs if the Spurs win, based on the final score including overtime. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.

When does the Thunder vs. Spurs market resolve?

The game is scheduled for May 24 at 8:00 PM ET, and the market is expected to resolve after the final result is known, with the listed resolution deadline around May 25, 2026.