Event

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

95 signals across 7 markets · $1,497,251 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026

Raptors vs. Cavaliers is an NBA prediction market event covering the game winner, first-half moneyline, totals from 209.5 to 211.5, and Cavaliers spreads at -7.5 and -8.5. PolySpotter is tracking about $1.5M in smart money across 95 signals, with recent alerts highlighting Cavaliers buying from profitable wallets and an Under-focused cluster.

TOR
46-36
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -8.5O/U: 209.5ML: +270/-340
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Markets (7)

  1. Raptors vs. Cavaliers59 signals · $944,918 tracked
  2. Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)18 signals · $273,837 tracked
  3. Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.57 signals · $157,171 tracked
  4. Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.53 signals · $68,895 tracked
  5. Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)5 signals · $26,626 tracked
  6. Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.52 signals · $20,804 tracked
  7. Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $5,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 85% winner backs Cavaliers

    Highly profitable 85% win-rate sports trader is backing Cavaliers, with cross-market positioning and a sharp pre-game volume/price spike supporting the signal.

    $3,061Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 24.9
  2. Profitable whales on Cavaliers

    Six wallets bought Cavaliers in a fast one-sided burst, including a highly profitable 71% win-rate whale, though the market has already moved sharply from their entry.

    $26,426Score: 21.2
  3. 97% winner leads Under cluster

    Surface: a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet led a $41k Under cluster, though the similar opposing Over flow makes the signal less clean.

    $41,433Score: 20.2
  4. 9-wallet underdog cluster

    A 9-wallet, $78k one-sided cluster is backing the underdog, with support from one strong 89% bettor and serial cross-market activity despite the price moving against early entries.

    $78,110Score: 20.0
  5. 85% winner buying Cavaliers

    Elite sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.7M profit bought $10.7K of Cavaliers, coinciding with a sharp 23.5-point price move.

    $10,659Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 19.4
  6. 85% winner backing favorite

    A highly profitable 85% win-rate sports bettor is adding Cavaliers exposure amid a sharp price move and pre-game volume spike.

    $5,164Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 17.9
  7. 85% winner backing Cavaliers

    Elite sports bettor with an 85% long-run win rate and $1.67M profit is adding nearly $10K to Cavaliers amid cross-market positioning and sharp price movement.

    $9,724Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 17.7
  8. 85% winner buying Under

    Elite sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.67M profit is putting $20K on Under while also positioning across related event markets.

    $20,135Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 17.6
  9. Sharp cluster buying underdog spread

    Large coordinated Raptors +8.5 buying from three wallets drove a sharp move from about 50¢ to 72¢, with one serial sports trader showing a strong 74% win record across hundreds of events.

    $90,481Score: 16.9
  10. 98% winner joins Cavaliers surge

    Elite 98% winner bought Cavaliers before a coordinated one-sided push from 10 wallets and a rapid price jump from 61¢ to 70¢.

    $7,755Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 16.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9ac253be3d$346,203 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
  2. 0x52f5ef5e8a$222,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
  3. 0x6ac5bb4b6e$122,821 · 1 market · 1 alert · 43% wins
  4. 0x27f73844b0$82,329 · 3 markets · 11 alerts · 88% wins
  5. 0x0767aa36b0$63,546 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 98% wins
  6. 0x418d5188a3$41,460 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 75% wins
  7. 0xfa21171438$39,999 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
  8. 0x84cb1728ad$32,127 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 99% wins
  9. 0x777d9f5143$30,836 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  10. 0x67bb64b6ef$21,889 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Raptors vs. Cavaliers prediction market odds?

This event tracks Polymarket pricing across several Raptors vs. Cavaliers outcomes, including the full-game winner, 1H moneyline, point totals, and Cavaliers spread markets. The odds move as traders buy and sell shares before and during the game.

What is the smart money betting on in Raptors vs. Cavaliers?

Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple smart-money signals on the Cavaliers, including an 85% winner backing Cleveland and profitable whales buying Cavaliers positions. There is also notable activity around Under totals.

Are bettors trading the spread or totals for Raptors vs. Cavaliers?

Yes. In addition to the moneyline, this event includes Cavaliers -7.5 and -8.5 spread markets, plus Over/Under lines at 209.5, 210.5, and 211.5. Recent alerts mention a 97% winner leading an Under cluster and a 9-wallet underdog cluster.

When does the Raptors vs. Cavaliers market resolve?

The event is scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET and resolves based on the final score, including overtime. If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until it is completed; if canceled with no make-up game, the main market resolves 50-50.

Where can I see Raptors vs. Cavaliers Polymarket activity?

PolySpotter aggregates the event’s Polymarket odds and highlights smart-money behavior across all related markets, making it easier to see which outcomes large or historically profitable wallets are trading.