Nevada Governor Election Winner
6 signals across 2 markets · $43,598 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026
Explore Polymarket prediction-market odds for the 2026 Nevada governor election, including the market on whether Republicans will win the race. PolySpotter is tracking $4,839 in smart money and a signal from a serial cross-market bettor with a reported 92% win rate.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven bettor makes $13.5K Nevada wager
A proven profitable bettor made a concentrated $13.5K Yes purchase at about 52¢, alongside a sharp volume spike in a relatively quiet market.
$13,462Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.8 - Profitable bettor scaling up Yes
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate added $18.4K to an already substantial Yes position amid an unusual volume spike.
$18,414Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.5 - 92% win-rate serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced 92% win-rate trader added nearly $4.8K to an existing Nevada Republican position in a thin market, though the position is being averaged around its prior entry.
$4,839Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.3 - Large bettor scaling into No
A trader with no proven track record is adding a sizeable No position, making this a meaningful conviction bet in a relatively thin political market.
$3,856Score: 3.1 - Large bettor scaling into No
A trader with no proven track record is adding a sizeable No position, making this a meaningful conviction bet in a relatively thin political market.
$1,633Score: 2.5 - Large bettor scaling into No
A trader with no proven track record is adding a sizeable No position, making this a meaningful conviction bet in a relatively thin political market.
$1,393Score: 2.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$31,876 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xcfee7c…ffcd$6,883 · 1 market · 3 alerts
- 0xeb490d…693e$4,839 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the Nevada governor election odds for 2026?
Polymarket odds reflect the market’s current estimate of whether Republicans will win the 2026 Nevada governor race. Check the live market for the latest probability and price changes.
What does this Nevada governor prediction market cover?
This event covers the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with the available child market focused on whether the Republican candidate wins.
What is smart money doing in the Nevada governor market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,839 in smart money across this event and one alert from a serial cross-market bettor with a reported 92% win rate. The market page shows the latest signal and activity details.
When will the Nevada governor election market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with the listed resolution date of November 3, 2026.