Bills vs. Raiders
39 signals across 14 markets · $806,850 tracked · resolves Oct 18, 2026
The Bills vs. Raiders Polymarket event tracks the game’s Bills -6.5 spread, reflecting whether Buffalo wins by more than 6.5 points or Las Vegas keeps the margin closer. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a proven sharp adding to a Bills position.

Markets (14)
- Bills vs. Raiders10 signals · $544,301 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)3 signals · $123,315 tracked
- Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 54.51 signal · $28,824 tracked
- Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 52.55 signals · $27,846 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)2 signals · $22,523 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)1 signal · $17,726 tracked
- Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 50.52 signals · $11,793 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)5 signals · $11,488 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)2 signals · $5,733 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-9.5)2 signals · $4,536 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-8.5)2 signals · $2,836 tracked
- Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 56.52 signals · $2,819 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)1 signal · $1,830 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)1 signal · $1,280 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettors lead $145K Bills cluster
A large, concentrated Bills position is backed by two exceptionally strong long-term bettors, though the buys came just after kickoff and the market price has since slipped below their entries.
$149,764Score: 8.7 - 93% winner backing Raiders across five markets
A highly profitable bettor with 1,558 resolved positions is buying Raiders while holding positions across five markets in the same event.
$1,301Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.4 - Proven 93% winner adds Bills
A highly profitable bettor with 1,558 resolved positions and a 93% win rate added $57,575 to Bills, reinforcing an existing position amid a major volume spike.
$57,575Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.8 - 93% winner leads Bills cluster
Three wallets bought Bills for $10.8K as the market surged, including a highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and strong historical edge.
$12,848Score: 7.6 - 93% winner scaling into event
A highly proven bettor with 1,558 resolved positions is buying Raiders while building substantial exposure across five markets in the same event.
$1,142Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.4 - Three profitable wallets adding Raiders
Three profitable wallets added $61,235 to Raiders at 53¢, a coordinated bet far larger than the market’s recent volume.
$64,788Score: 6.6 - Four-wallet Raiders buying surge
Four wallets bought Raiders for nearly $20K amid a 311.5x pre-event volume spike, including this trader's $5.3K entry at 32¢.
$5,317Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.5 - 93% winner backing Bills
A highly profitable bettor with 1,552 resolved positions and a 93% win rate placed a $17,726 Bills bet and has $39,272 across three markets in the event.
$17,726Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.4 - Three-wallet Over push with proven whale
Three wallets bought $28.8K of Over, including a highly profitable bettor with a 72% win rate and a trader adding to an existing position.
$28,824Score: 6.1 - Proven 92% bettor backs Raiders
A highly profitable bettor with 5,259 resolved positions bought Raiders at 49¢, making this a strong track-record-backed position.
$1,225Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf0318c…c80c$292,590 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xe015b5…6ffd$77,744 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x701187…c6da$52,166 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0xe5b70f…5ee3$25,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf28e42…cab2$18,071 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xe18ecc…f826$12,584 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$10,640 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xf3a6ac…71bd$9,675 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x8a260e…73c3$9,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xd2d451…373b$7,536 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Bills vs. Raiders prediction-market odds?
The event includes a Bills -6.5 spread market. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets and new information emerges.
What is the smart money doing on Bills vs. Raiders?
PolySpotter has tracked one signal so far: a proven sharp adding to a Bills position. The event has $9,675 in tracked smart-money activity.
What outcome does the Bills -6.5 market track?
It tracks whether the Bills win by more than 6.5 points or the Raiders cover the spread by winning or keeping the margin within 6.5 points.
When does the Bills vs. Raiders market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET. The market is expected to resolve after the game is completed.