Colts vs. Chiefs
9 signals across 2 markets · $165,309 tracked · resolves Sep 21, 2026
The Colts vs. Chiefs Polymarket event tracks prediction-market pricing for the game winner and the Chiefs -6.5 spread ahead of the September 20 NFL matchup. PolySpotter has recorded $3,055 in smart money across two signals, including a perfect-record bettor and a sharp bettor adding to or scaling into the Chiefs.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Five-wallet KC conviction cluster
Five wallets deployed $50.8K on KC at roughly 50%, including a highly profitable serial bettor, creating an unusually strong one-sided signal in a nearly inactive market.
$57,424Score: 8.1 - 94% win-rate bettor backs Colts
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.28M profit is making a fresh $2,895 bet on Colts at 52%.
$2,895Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial bettor adds to KC
A highly experienced and profitable serial bettor added $37,472 to an existing KC position at 50¢, providing meaningful though not overwhelming copy-trading evidence.
$37,472Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.6 - Perfect-record bettor adds to Chiefs
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 68-0 resolved record is adding $2,000 to an existing Chiefs position at even money.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.4 - Serial bettor adds to KC position
A highly experienced bettor added to a large KC position amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, though the trade is incremental rather than fresh conviction.
$6,660Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Chiefs
A highly profitable bettor with 862 resolved trades and a strong historical edge is adding to a Chiefs position at an even-money price.
$1,055Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Serial bettor adds to KC position
A highly experienced bettor added to a large KC position amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, though the trade is incremental rather than fresh conviction.
$6,870Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.0 - Whale doubles down on IND
A whale added $22.4K to an existing IND position in an exceptionally quiet market, creating a notable conviction signal despite a middling track record.
$28,576Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.3 - Whale doubles down on IND
A whale added $22.4K to an existing IND position in an exceptionally quiet market, creating a notable conviction signal despite a middling track record.
$22,357Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$51,002 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x526852…135d$50,932 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x866056…93ed$2,895 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x2b3441…176e$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x73e834…cd6f$1,055 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the Colts vs. Chiefs prediction-market odds?
This event includes markets for the game outcome—Colts or Chiefs—and the Chiefs -6.5 spread. Check the live PolySpotter page for current prices and implied probabilities.
What is smart money doing in the Colts vs. Chiefs market?
Smart money has leaned toward the Chiefs. Recent alerts show a perfect-record bettor adding to the Chiefs and a sharp bettor scaling into the Chiefs, with $3,055 tracked across two signals.
What markets are included in this Colts vs. Chiefs Polymarket event?
The event includes the game winner market and a spread market for Chiefs -6.5, covering both the outright result and expected margin.
When does the Colts vs. Chiefs prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the September 20 game, with a listed resolution time of September 21, 2026 at 12:20 AM UTC. A postponement keeps the market open until the game is played.
What happens if Colts vs. Chiefs ends in a tie or is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie without a make-up game, the winner market resolves 50-50 under the exchange rules.