Event

Chiefs vs. Broncos

38 signals across 17 markets · $970,068 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the Chiefs–Broncos NFL game, with a child market on whether Kansas City covers the -3.5 spread. PolySpotter has flagged one smart-money signal: a profitable serial trader adding to the Broncos.

Markets (17)

  1. Chiefs vs. Broncos13 signals · $546,421 tracked
  2. Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)4 signals · $269,204 tracked
  3. Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)4 signals · $48,612 tracked
  4. Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)2 signals · $42,375 tracked
  5. Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.51 signal · $19,750 tracked
  6. Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)1 signal · $9,666 tracked
  7. Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.52 signals · $7,066 tracked
  8. 1H Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)1 signal · $5,541 tracked
  9. Spread: Broncos (-2.5)1 signal · $5,367 tracked
  10. Spread: Broncos (-3.5)2 signals · $5,280 tracked
  11. Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)1 signal · $2,337 tracked
  12. Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 52.51 signal · $2,276 tracked
  13. Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)1 signal · $1,601 tracked
  14. Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 54.51 signal · $1,239 tracked
  15. Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)1 signal · $1,170 tracked
  16. Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.51 signal · $1,144 tracked
  17. Chiefs vs. Broncos: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $1,020 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable bettors adding to Broncos

    Eight wallets put about $147K into Broncos, including several profitable bettors adding to sizable existing positions, though a larger Chiefs-buying group creates a notable counter-signal.

    $112,464Score: 11.1
  2. Sharp bettor leads 16-wallet Chiefs cluster

    A proven high-performing bettor made a large Chiefs buy amid a 16-wallet, $406K one-sided cluster and an exceptional volume spike.

    $181,836Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 11.0
  3. Seven-wallet Chiefs buying surge

    Seven wallets bought $203,000 of Chiefs as volume surged 77x and the price moved sharply, with the largest bettor adding to an already substantial position.

    $41,803Score: 9.3
  4. Proven 79% bettor adds to Broncos cluster

    Three wallets added $57,002 to Broncos, including a highly profitable bettor with a 79% record, amid a major volume spike.

    $57,002Score: 7.6
  5. 89% winner leads Chiefs whale buy

    A highly profitable bettor with an exceptional 89% win rate led a roughly $114K Chiefs position, though the price has since fallen and opposing Broncos flow tempers the signal.

    $113,760Score: 7.6
  6. Proven sharp adds to Broncos

    A highly profitable bettor with a strong long-term record added nearly $98,000 to Broncos while two other wallets helped create a $102,501 one-sided cluster.

    $97,671Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 7.6
  7. Four-wallet Broncos buying cluster

    Four wallets have put $318,102 on Broncos amid a 90x volume spike, and this trader is adding to a substantial existing position despite a poor personal track record.

    $75,884Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.4
  8. Profitable 81% bettor leads Over cluster

    A three-wallet Over cluster coincides with a 123x volume spike and includes a bettor with an 81% win rate across 2,098 resolved positions.

    $5,238Score: 7.1
  9. Proven 92% bettor backing Under

    A highly profitable bettor with 1,838 resolved positions is adding to Under at 61–62¢, supported by repeated cross-market positioning in this event.

    $2,276Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.8
  10. Proven 92% winner backing Under

    A highly profitable bettor with 1,838 resolved positions is buying Under and has built substantial exposure across three markets in this game.

    $1,239Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf0318c…c80c$278,195 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 89% wins
  2. 0xf28e42…cab2$117,781 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
  3. 0xf4c95b…f88c$75,884 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
  4. 0xbc43c8…96d3$42,514 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
  5. 0x6157d5…9fb4$19,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  6. 0xfe787d…0319$7,392 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 64% wins
  7. 0xd2d451…373b$5,541 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  8. 0x59018f…63a2$5,367 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  9. 0x9c76cd…c926$5,280 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
  10. 0xf82868…6129$4,544 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction-market odds?

The event includes a Chiefs -3.5 spread market. Check the live market prices on this page for the latest odds.

What does the Chiefs -3.5 spread mean?

The market is based on Kansas City winning by more than 3.5 points. A position on the other side aligns with Denver covering the spread.

What is smart money doing on Chiefs vs. Broncos?

PolySpotter has tracked one signal totaling $1,170 across the event. Its alert reports that a profitable serial trader added to the Broncos.

When does the Chiefs vs. Broncos market resolve?

The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves after it is completed.