Chiefs vs. Broncos
38 signals across 17 markets · $970,068 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the Chiefs–Broncos NFL game, with a child market on whether Kansas City covers the -3.5 spread. PolySpotter has flagged one smart-money signal: a profitable serial trader adding to the Broncos.

Markets (17)
- Chiefs vs. Broncos13 signals · $546,421 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)4 signals · $269,204 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)4 signals · $48,612 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)2 signals · $42,375 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.51 signal · $19,750 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)1 signal · $9,666 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.52 signals · $7,066 tracked
- 1H Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)1 signal · $5,541 tracked
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)1 signal · $5,367 tracked
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)2 signals · $5,280 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)1 signal · $2,337 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 52.51 signal · $2,276 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)1 signal · $1,601 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 54.51 signal · $1,239 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)1 signal · $1,170 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.51 signal · $1,144 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: 1H Moneyline1 signal · $1,020 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettors adding to Broncos
Eight wallets put about $147K into Broncos, including several profitable bettors adding to sizable existing positions, though a larger Chiefs-buying group creates a notable counter-signal.
$112,464Score: 11.1 - Sharp bettor leads 16-wallet Chiefs cluster
A proven high-performing bettor made a large Chiefs buy amid a 16-wallet, $406K one-sided cluster and an exceptional volume spike.
$181,836Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 11.0 - Seven-wallet Chiefs buying surge
Seven wallets bought $203,000 of Chiefs as volume surged 77x and the price moved sharply, with the largest bettor adding to an already substantial position.
$41,803Score: 9.3 - Proven 79% bettor adds to Broncos cluster
Three wallets added $57,002 to Broncos, including a highly profitable bettor with a 79% record, amid a major volume spike.
$57,002Score: 7.6 - 89% winner leads Chiefs whale buy
A highly profitable bettor with an exceptional 89% win rate led a roughly $114K Chiefs position, though the price has since fallen and opposing Broncos flow tempers the signal.
$113,760Score: 7.6 - Proven sharp adds to Broncos
A highly profitable bettor with a strong long-term record added nearly $98,000 to Broncos while two other wallets helped create a $102,501 one-sided cluster.
$97,671Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 7.6 - Four-wallet Broncos buying cluster
Four wallets have put $318,102 on Broncos amid a 90x volume spike, and this trader is adding to a substantial existing position despite a poor personal track record.
$75,884Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.4 - Profitable 81% bettor leads Over cluster
A three-wallet Over cluster coincides with a 123x volume spike and includes a bettor with an 81% win rate across 2,098 resolved positions.
$5,238Score: 7.1 - Proven 92% bettor backing Under
A highly profitable bettor with 1,838 resolved positions is adding to Under at 61–62¢, supported by repeated cross-market positioning in this event.
$2,276Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.8 - Proven 92% winner backing Under
A highly profitable bettor with 1,838 resolved positions is buying Under and has built substantial exposure across three markets in this game.
$1,239Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf0318c…c80c$278,195 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xf28e42…cab2$117,781 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xf4c95b…f88c$75,884 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xbc43c8…96d3$42,514 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$19,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$7,392 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xd2d451…373b$5,541 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x59018f…63a2$5,367 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$5,280 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xf82868…6129$4,544 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction-market odds?
The event includes a Chiefs -3.5 spread market. Check the live market prices on this page for the latest odds.
What does the Chiefs -3.5 spread mean?
The market is based on Kansas City winning by more than 3.5 points. A position on the other side aligns with Denver covering the spread.
What is smart money doing on Chiefs vs. Broncos?
PolySpotter has tracked one signal totaling $1,170 across the event. Its alert reports that a profitable serial trader added to the Broncos.
When does the Chiefs vs. Broncos market resolve?
The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves after it is completed.