Chiefs vs. Raiders
31 signals across 10 markets · $904,565 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
The Chiefs vs. Raiders Polymarket event tracks betting on the NFL matchup, including the Chiefs -4.5 spread. PolySpotter has flagged one smart-money signal, with a recent alert reporting that 95% of tracked winners backed the Raiders.
Markets (10)
- Chiefs vs. Raiders8 signals · $393,977 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)7 signals · $385,959 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 44.54 signals · $52,170 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 46.53 signals · $19,531 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 39.53 signals · $19,308 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.51 signal · $12,733 tracked
- Spread: Raiders (-3.5)2 signals · $8,505 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 52.51 signal · $6,327 tracked
- Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)1 signal · $4,706 tracked
- Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 40.51 signal · $1,349 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 17-wallet Chiefs buying wave
A $125.6K, 17-wallet Chiefs buying wave coincided with a major price rise and volume spike, with strong historical performance among participating wallets.
$125,583Score: 10.2 - Proven $6.2M winner leads seven-wallet Chiefs flow
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% record added about $74,000 to Chiefs while six other wallets joined the same-direction flow amid a major volume spike.
$74,397Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 9.2 - 12-wallet Chiefs buying cluster
A 12-wallet, $245.8K Chiefs buying cluster coincided with a 107x volume spike, and this bettor added $63.1K to an existing Chiefs position.
$63,118Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 8.9 - Five-wallet Raiders cluster with proven sharps
Five wallets put $57.7K toward the Raiders, including two bettors with exceptional long-term records, making this coordinated position worth surfacing.
$23,478Score: 8.2 - Three-wallet Chiefs pile-on, led by 92% winner
Three wallets put $105,210 on the Chiefs, including a highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate who is adding to a large existing position.
$105,210Score: 8.0 - Four-wallet Raiders cluster
Four wallets placed $22,656 on the Raiders, alongside a 23.2x volume spike and substantial event-wide positioning, though the main wallet’s track record is not a clear edge signal.
$8,159Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 8.0 - 81% winner scaling across seven event markets
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate made a sizable Under bet and has positioned across seven markets in the same event.
$6,327Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.7 - 81% winner with concentrated game exposure
A highly profitable bettor with 1,099 resolved positions is active across seven markets in this event, with the combined trades leaving a net Chiefs exposure despite also buying Raiders.
$4,706Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.6 - Three-wallet Chiefs cluster with 92% winner
Three wallets bought Chiefs for $6,530, including a highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and another wallet adding to an existing position.
$6,530Score: 6.8 - Four-wallet Raiders buying cluster
Four wallets put $20,816 on the Raiders, while this wallet also bought Raiders at 56¢; its bets on both sides of the total make that market’s direction unclear.
$10,068Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 6.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb9c7d3…aade$190,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x9ee8bb…89de$74,397 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xd1ed12…d7cb$68,891 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x526852…135d$64,610 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x67ac9e…edf1$63,118 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x8a8685…4998$62,648 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x31c518…ede4$35,510 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$18,195 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xd38b71…5029$11,033 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$8,414 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction-market odds?
The event includes a Chiefs -4.5 spread market. Check the live market for current odds, since prices can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing on Chiefs vs. Raiders?
PolySpotter tracks $1,350 in smart money across this event and has recorded one signal. Its recent alert says 95% of tracked winners backed the Raiders.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed child market is the Chiefs -4.5 spread, which reflects whether the Chiefs win by more than 4.5 points or the Raiders cover the spread.
When does the Chiefs vs. Raiders market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET, and the market is set to resolve after the game is completed. If it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.