Event

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

20 signals across 5 markets · $40,850 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026

This PolySpotter event tracks the prediction market on whether Saudi Arabia announces that its East-West oil pipeline is operational again by September 30, 2026. The market currently covers a Yes/No outcome, with smart money tracking showing one signal totaling $2,229.

Markets (5)

  1. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?9 signals · $18,690 tracked
  2. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?6 signals · $12,337 tracked
  3. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?3 signals · $5,571 tracked
  4. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?1 signal · $2,528 tracked
  5. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?1 signal · $1,724 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. High-volume bettor adds to Yes

    A highly active, historically profitable bettor added $2,954 to Yes at 72¢ while the market surged, though the wallet’s 86% win rate is tempered by high average win prices and modest lifetime returns relative to volume.

    $2,954Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.4
  2. Profitable serial trader buys Yes

    A highly profitable, experienced trader bought Yes, with a second wallet sharing its funder and a history of trading across many events, though this position is modest relative to their overall activity.

    $1,724Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 6.9
  3. Proven trader adding to No

    A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

    $2,008Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.6
  4. Proven trader adding to No

    A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

    $2,698Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.6
  5. Profitable serial trader trimming No

    A proven, highly profitable trader is trimming an existing No position rather than opening a fresh Yes bet, so the activity is worth tracking but should not be read as strong new conviction.

    $2,559Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.6
  6. Serial sharp buying pipeline restart

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate is making a fresh $1,545 contrarian bet on Yes despite the market falling to 40%.

    $1,545Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.6
  7. Proven trader adding to No

    A proven, highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial No position at 51¢, making this a credible directional signal.

    $1,670Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.6
  8. Profitable trader caught a 46¢ entry

    A profitable high-volume trader bought Yes at 46¢ before a sharp rally, supported by a substantial market price move, though the current 92¢ price leaves little room to copy.

    $1,327Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.3
  9. Profitable bettor adding to Yes

    A proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate is adding to an existing Yes position despite high current odds.

    $4,512Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.8
  10. Proven serial trader buys Yes

    A highly experienced trader with 367 resolved bets and a meaningful historical edge bought Yes after a sharp 25.5% daily price increase.

    $1,796Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x524db8…4495$13,041 · 3 markets · 7 alerts · 75% wins
  2. 0x4d417f…6aca$7,312 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 78% wins
  3. 0xb36cfb…1077$5,254 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
  4. 0xcdb1f1…276c$2,954 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  5. 0x35bbba…009b$2,528 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  6. 0x85a858…9281$2,229 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  7. 0xfc2f4f…10c7$1,796 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
  8. 0x44c1df…ebc1$1,724 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  9. 0x784516…417b$1,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  10. 0x5e73af…6697$1,327 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Saudi oil pipeline restart odds?

The event tracks Yes and No prediction-market odds on whether Saudi Arabia’s East-West oil pipeline is announced as operational by the September 30 deadline. Check the live Polymarket market for current prices and implied probabilities.

What is the Saudi Oil Pipeline prediction market about?

The market resolves Yes if Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West pipeline is operating or no longer shut down by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No.

What is smart money betting on in this event?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling $2,229. Its latest alert says a bettor representing 93% of tracked activity scaled into No.

When does the Saudi oil pipeline market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the September 30, 2026 deadline, listed as October 1, 2026 at 03:59 UTC. Resolution depends on a qualifying Saudi government announcement.