"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)
3 signals across 1 market · $8,627 tracked · resolves Aug 2, 2026
This PolySpotter event tracks the prediction market for Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic opening-weekend box office, including the $350 million–$360 million outcome bracket. Smart-money activity includes a serial trader scaling into Yes, with $4,691 tracked across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial trader scaling into Yes
A serial cross-market trader added a large Yes position in a thin market, with the trade exceeding total 24-hour volume despite only moderate historical performance.
$4,691Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.4 - Serial trader scaling into Yes
A serial cross-market trader added a large Yes position in a thin market, with the trade exceeding total 24-hour volume despite only moderate historical performance.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.0 - Winning bettor adds to Yes
A bettor with a strong 95-28 record is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing Yes position after a sharp 28-point market repricing.
$1,937Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9aeb53…2729$6,690 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0x839080…09f1$1,937 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Spider-Man: Brand New Day opening weekend box office odds?
The event includes a Polymarket bracket asking whether the film will gross between $350 million and $360 million domestically during its opening weekend. Check the live market for the current Yes and No prices.
What is the Spider-Man: Brand New Day prediction market trading?
The market trades whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will earn $350 million–$360 million in domestic box office revenue over its three-day opening weekend, July 31 through August 2.
What is smart money doing on this Spider-Man box office market?
PolySpotter has detected one smart-money signal: a serial trader is scaling into Yes. The event currently tracks $4,691 in smart-money activity.
When will the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by August 2, 2026, after the final three-day opening-weekend figures are available. Resolution will use the Daily Box Office Performance figures reported by The Numbers, rather than studio estimates.