Event

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,035 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18. PolySpotter has flagged $1,035 in smart money activity across the event, including a signal from a profitable serial macro trader.

Markets (1)

  1. S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?1 signal · $1,035 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial macro trader

    Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought No near the SPY close after a sharp same-day repricing against Yes.

    $1,035Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x264cbbbaca$1,035 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds SPY closes above $735 on May 18?

The live Polymarket price represents the market-implied odds that SPY closes above $735 on May 18. Check the event page for the current probability, price movement, and liquidity.

What is the smart money doing on this SPY market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,035 in smart money activity on this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial macro trader.

How does this SPY prediction market resolve?

This market resolves based on whether SPY closes above $735 on May 18, using the market’s stated resolution source and closing-price rules.

Is this event about SPY or the S&P 500 index?

The market is specifically about SPY, the S&P 500 ETF. Traders are betting on whether SPY’s closing price finishes above the listed $735 threshold.