Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
6 signals across 1 market · $17,840 tracked · resolves Sep 13, 2026
The Polymarket prediction market for Noche UFC’s Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot fight tracks the outcome of the women’s flyweight main-card bout. Traders can buy positions on Grasso or Fiorot, while a draw, technical draw, No Contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement resolves to 50-50; PolySpotter has tracked $4,410 in smart-money activity, including a move from a 92-0 serial bettor toward Manon Fiorot.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets scaling into Grasso
Four wallets bought Alexa Grasso together, including two highly profitable bettors with strong odds-adjusted records, though the market has already moved sharply to 88%.
$6,664Score: 7.9 - Profitable bettor backs Fiorot
A profitable serial trader added to a sizable four-wallet Fiorot position during an extreme volume spike, although the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
$1,082Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 6.6 - 92-0 serial bettor adds to Manon
A highly successful serial bettor with a 92-0 record is adding $4,410 to an existing Manon Fiorot position at market price.
$4,410Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scales into Grasso
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor added substantially to an existing Alexa Grasso position at 72¢ amid an enormous volume spike and sharp price move.
$2,376Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor scaling into Grasso
A proven sharp bettor added to an existing Alexa Grasso position at 66¢ just before an extreme volume spike and 21-point price surge.
$1,440Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.3 - Profitable sharp scales into Grasso
A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and $52,750 lifetime profit added substantially to Alexa Grasso at 72¢ before a major market repricing.
$1,868Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb7aba0…a2d1$4,410 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x88c3fc…bea3$2,376 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xc8f47d…6794$1,868 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xd072f1…95e8$1,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x17b8dd…d5d1$1,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot Polymarket odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of Alexa Grasso or Manon Fiorot winning. Check the event page for current prices, volume, and changes as fight night approaches.
What is smart money betting on in Grasso vs. Fiorot?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,410 in smart-money activity across this event and one signal so far. A 92-0 serial bettor was reported adding to Manon Fiorot.
What outcomes are traded in this UFC prediction market?
The market covers two winner outcomes: Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot. If the fight is a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot market resolve?
The fight is scheduled for September 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve after the official result, with resolution listed by September 13, 2026. Special postponement rules may apply.