UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)
15 signals across 1 market · $995,063 tracked · resolves Jun 21, 2026
This UFC Fight Night event tracks the prediction market for Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo in a flyweight prelim bout. Traders are pricing the fight winner outcome, with PolySpotter currently tracking $7,956 in smart money activity and a recent elite UFC sharp buying signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite UFC sharp buying big
Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.
$239,017Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 13.0 - Elite UFC sharp buying big
Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.
$98,329Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.4 - Elite UFC sharp buying big
Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.
$120,435Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.3 - Elite UFC sharp buying big
Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.
$151,764Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.3 - 87% sharp on fallen fighter
A highly profitable 87% winner put $53k on Allan Nascimento at 60¢, though the market has since moved sharply against him to about 14¢.
$53,435Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.2 - Elite UFC whale buying Nascimento
Elite UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M profit is making a very large $221K buy on Allan Nascimento amid a pre-fight volume spike.
$221,214Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 10.6 - 87% winner buying Nascimento
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 87% resolved win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit, making the Allan Nascimento buy worth surfacing despite the weak detector score.
$22,640Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 10.1 - Elite UFC sharp buying
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit bought nearly $8k of Allan Nascimento at 59¢.
$41,331Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.4 - 87% winner buying Nascimento
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 87% resolved win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit, making the Allan Nascimento buy worth surfacing despite the weak detector score.
$9,848Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.0 - Elite UFC sharp buying
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit bought nearly $8k of Allan Nascimento at 59¢.
$5,915Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$983,774 · 1 market · 12 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x5d47b4…d0a2$4,470 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$4,219 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xca97f5…49f6$2,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo?
The Nascimento vs. Raposo prediction market reflects trader-implied odds for which fighter will be officially declared the winner. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest price movement and probability.
What is the smart money doing on Nascimento vs. Raposo?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,956 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert described as elite UFC sharp buying. That suggests at least one high-signal bettor has taken a notable position in the fight market.
How does this UFC prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Allan Nascimento or Mitch Raposo if that fighter is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When does Nascimento vs. Raposo resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the UFC Fight Night prelim bout, with the listed resolution deadline around June 21, 2026 UTC, depending on the official fight result.