UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
5 signals across 2 markets · $140,770 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026
Follow prediction-market odds for Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr. The event tracks the fight outcome and whether it goes over or under 1.5 rounds, with $19,140 in smart money tracked and a sharp bettor scaling into the Under.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- $113K concentrated UFC bet
Three wallets added $113,584 to Magomed Tuchalov, including a serial trader with a 94% win rate, creating an unusually concentrated pre-event signal despite mixed wallet quality.
$113,584Score: 8.1 - Serial UFC bettor scaling into Tuchalov
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate added to an existing Tuchalov position amid an extreme volume spike, though the historical edge is modest relative to the 92% average winning entry price.
$1,921Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.1 - 92% winner buying Tuchalov
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate bought Magomed Tuchalov at 63¢ amid an extraordinary volume spike, and the position has since risen to 89¢.
$1,760Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A proven 78% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $19,140 to an existing Under position at 66 cents.
$19,140Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.9 - 73% winner scaling into Ribeiro
A highly experienced serial trader with a 73% win rate added to a substantial Ribeiro position during a 113.8x volume spike, signaling unusually strong underdog conviction despite adverse price movement.
$4,365Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd6c913…396d$19,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$4,365 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xc3e550…519d$1,921 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x9eca63…5a59$1,760 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Ribeiro vs. Tuchalov?
Polymarket tracks the market for Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov, including the O/U 1.5 rounds child market. Check the live event page for current prices and implied probabilities.
What is the smart money betting on in this UFC fight?
PolySpotter has tracked $19,140 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert shows a sharp bettor scaling into Under 1.5 rounds.
What outcomes are traded for Ribeiro vs. Tuchalov?
The event covers the officially declared winner, Ribeiro or Tuchalov, along with whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, cancellation, or certain postponements may result in a 50-50 resolution for the winner market.
When does the Ribeiro vs. Tuchalov prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026, after the official fight result is available. The underlying rules specify special treatment for a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond August 8, 2026.