UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
21 signals across 2 markets · $188,300 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This UFC Fight Night hub tracks prediction-market odds for Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena, including both the fight winner and whether it goes over or under 2.5 rounds. PolySpotter has tracked $188,300 in smart money across 21 signals, with recent alerts highlighting a sharp contrarian Jack cluster, high-win-rate buyers on Prates, and linked 10-wallet fight pushes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp contrarian Jack cluster
Seven wallets bought $38k of Jack Della Maddalena, including multiple highly profitable bettors, though the market has since moved sharply against them and a larger Prates cluster is on the other side.
$38,220Score: 23.3 - Two 96% winners buying Prates
Strong UFC signal from a 4-wallet Prates buy cluster led by two highly profitable wallets with 96–97% historical records.
$8,832Score: 14.0 - 97% winner in 10-wallet push
Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought Carlos Prates at 50¢ alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and major volume spike before the market moved to 100%.
$2,600Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 13.9 - 10-wallet linked fight push
Strong coordinated one-sided UFC flow: 10 wallets bought Carlos Prates, including 4 linked wallets, alongside a 42x volume spike and a move from 51¢ to 100¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 11.9 - 10-wallet linked fight cluster
High-conviction one-sided flow from 10 wallets, including linked funding, bought Carlos Prates around 51¢ before the market moved to 100%.
$36,922Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 10.9 - 82% sports sharp buys Under
Proven profitable sports bettor with 82% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought $5.6k of Under at 45¢ on a relatively quiet UFC rounds market.
$5,603Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.0 - Elite 85% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Jack Della Maddalena at 48%.
$1,488Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - 81% serial sports sharp
Sharp 81% lifetime bettor with strong profit and extensive cross-market history is taking a meaningful Under position in a relatively thin UFC rounds market.
$2,052Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.0 - 82% serial cross-market sharp
Proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and broad cross-market history is buying Under 2.5 rounds in a UFC market.
$3,380Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 6.0 - 40-0 sharp UFC bettor
A bettor with a perfect 40-for-40 record and strong edge just bought Jack Della Maddalena at 48¢ in a moderately thin UFC market, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth surfacing.
$1,104Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x777d9f…5143$40,863 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x9f2fe0…2ca8$36,922 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0x8c80d2…02c3$21,655 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x12afdd…ff78$17,507 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 84% wins
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$5,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x86fbea…03d4$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$4,026 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x4c3124…5240$2,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x58aa47…a481$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$1,488 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Prates vs. Della Maddalena?
This event page tracks live prediction-market pricing for the fight winner market and the O/U 2.5 rounds market. Prices can move quickly as traders react to weigh-ins, news, and smart money activity.
What is smart money doing on Prates vs. Della Maddalena?
PolySpotter has detected $188,300 in tracked smart money across 21 signals. Recent alerts show activity on both sides, including two 96% winners buying Prates and a sharp contrarian cluster backing Jack Della Maddalena.
Are traders betting on the fight to go over or under 2.5 rounds?
Yes. In addition to the fight winner market, this event includes an O/U 2.5 rounds market, letting traders price whether the bout is more likely to end early or last into the later rounds.
When does the Prates vs. Della Maddalena market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official fight result, with the event resolving by May 3, 2026 UTC. If the fight is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, the winner market resolves 50-50.