UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)
11 signals across 3 markets · $200,394 tracked · resolves Aug 9, 2026
Track the Polymarket prediction market for Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle in the UFC Fight Night featherweight prelims. The market covers both fighter-win outcomes, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout is a draw, No Contest, canceled, or postponed; a serial bettor is scaling into the favorite.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Eight-wallet Yadier conviction cluster
Eight wallets deployed $93.6K on Yadier del Valle at 89¢ amid a 5,000x volume spike, with several strongly profitable bettors participating.
$93,606Score: 8.2 - Sharp bettors scaling into Under
A $56,388 coordinated Under purchase, including two highly profitable bettors and a 359x volume spike, is a strong directional signal despite all wallets already holding Under.
$56,388Score: 8.0 - Elite bettor takes large No
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a large No bet in an exceptionally thin market.
$2,131Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - 93% winner scaling into Under
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $10.5K to an Under position at 64¢.
$10,546Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6 - 93% winner scaling into Under
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $10.5K to an Under position at 64¢.
$2,189Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6 - Elite bettor buys Under
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,626 Under 2.5 Rounds position.
$2,626Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.4 - Elite bettor buys Under
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,626 Under 2.5 Rounds position.
$3,036Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor doubles down on Under
A proven sports bettor with a 78% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $19.6K to an existing Under position while maintaining a serial cross-market track record.
$19,552Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Serial bettor scaling into favorite
A serial cross-market bettor with 545 resolved trades is adding to a large favorite position in a thin market, though the track record shows only modest edge at this price.
$1,720Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader adding to position
A profitable serial trader with 109 resolved bets is adding $2,000 to an existing Yadier del Valle position, though the 88% entry leaves limited apparent value.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd6c913…396d$19,552 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x10658d…6218$12,734 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$7,793 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$6,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x7b0f0a…4633$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x48898d…e2d8$1,720 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Elkins vs. del Valle?
Polymarket odds for Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle are shown as live probabilities and can change as traders buy or sell either fighter outcome. Check this page for the latest market pricing.
What is smart money doing in the Elkins vs. del Valle market?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,720 in smart-money activity across this event and one signal. The latest alert says a serial bettor is scaling into the favorite.
What outcomes are traded for this UFC fight?
The market trades whether Darren Elkins or Yadier del Valle is officially declared the winner. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, no score, cancellation, or sufficiently late postponement resolves the market 50-50.
When does the Elkins vs. del Valle prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 9, 2026, after the official fight result is available. If the bout is postponed beyond August 22, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.