UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
7 signals across 2 markets · $210,717 tracked · resolves Jul 12, 2026
This UFC 329 hub tracks prediction-market odds for Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison, with trading focused on whether the heavyweight prelim fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds. PolySpotter has tracked $8,404 in smart money across the event, including a recent signal that a 90% winner is adding to the Under side.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% UFC sharp whale
Elite 92% lifetime bettor put $138K on Gable Steveson around 88¢ before the market moved to 100%.
$138,083Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.7 - 94% win-rate UFC sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying the heavy favorite amid a large pre-fight volume spike.
$3,981Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.7 - 90% winner adding Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record is adding a large Under position at 80¢.
$8,404Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.5 - 90% winner adding Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record is adding a large Under position at 80¢.
$7,697Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.5 - 97% sharp sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Gable Steveson at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, supported by a strong cross-market track record and a volume spike.
$4,975Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.0 - High-win-rate favorite bettor
A highly experienced sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Gable Steveson position, though the edge is modest because they typically buy heavy favorites.
$1,076Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Large UFC bet from a proven serial cross-market bettor with a 72% resolved win rate and $666k profit, though the price has already moved to 100%.
$46,500Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$138,083 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$46,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xf3a6ac…71bd$16,102 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$4,975 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x08c263…c023$3,981 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xc3e550…519d$1,076 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Steveson vs. Ellison prediction-market odds?
This event page tracks the live Polymarket odds for UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison, including the active O/U 1.5 rounds market for the fight.
What is the smart money doing on Steveson vs. Ellison?
PolySpotter has tracked $8,404 in smart money on this event. The latest signal shows a trader labeled as a 90% winner adding to the Under, suggesting interest in a shorter fight.
What outcomes are being traded for this UFC 329 fight?
The current child market is focused on total rounds: whether Steveson vs. Ellison goes over or under 1.5 rounds. The event hub summarizes activity across that market.
When does the Steveson vs. Ellison market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the UFC 329 fight, with resolution expected by July 12, 2026, based on the official fight result and market rules.