UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
12 signals across 2 markets · $346,133 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026
Follow Polymarket prediction-market odds for Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola in the UFC Fight Night lightweight prelims. The event tracks the fight winner and whether it goes over or under 2.5 rounds; PolySpotter alerts show smart money scaling into the Under, with $2,216 tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% bettor doubles down on Bonfim
A highly profitable UFC bettor led a concentrated $55,392 Bonfim purchase, although the trade is already deeply underwater and represents added exposure rather than a fresh position.
$55,392Score: 7.7 - Profitable serial trader buys Axel Sola
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $908K profit made a concentrated $10K purchase amid an extreme volume spike.
$30,482Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.7 - 93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
$102,995Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 6.2 - 93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
$89,756Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 6.1 - Four-wallet Axel Sola buying cluster
Four wallets committed $46,450 to Axel Sola during an extraordinary 2,268x volume spike, with this trader adding to an existing position.
$2,300Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.9 - 93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
$40,693Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.6 - 92% winner scaling into Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate is adding to an existing Under position at 47¢.
$2,216Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - 92% winner scaling into Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate is adding to an existing Under position at 47¢.
$2,216Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - 92% winner adds to Under
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate is adding $4,431 to an existing Under position at 47¢.
$4,431Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - 99% win-rate serial bettor buys Bonfim
A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $1,700 bet on Bonfim at 37%.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$233,444 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 51% wins
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$40,475 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x10658d…6218$8,863 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xda39b8…c640$3,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x842ac9…7422$2,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Bonfim vs. Sola?
Polymarket lists prediction-market prices for the Bonfim vs. Sola fight winner and the over/under 2.5 rounds outcome. Check the live event markets for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing on Bonfim vs. Sola?
PolySpotter’s latest alert reports a 92% winner scaling into the Under 2.5 rounds market, signaling notable smart-money activity around a shorter fight duration.
Which markets are included in this UFC event?
The event hub covers the fight’s winner outcome—Ismael Bonfim or Axel Sola—and an O/U 2.5 rounds market. The winner market settles 50-50 if the bout is a draw, technical draw, No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond the specified deadline.
When does the Bonfim vs. Sola prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026, based on the official result of the fight at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr.