UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)
4 signals across 1 market · $12,554 tracked · resolves Apr 26, 2026
This UFC Fight Night prediction market tracks who will win the flyweight prelim between Jafel Filho and Cody Durden at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal. Traders are pricing the fight winner market, with PolySpotter tracking $12,554 in smart money activity across signals including high win-rate sports bettors, fight bettors, and a funded wallet cluster.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 14-wallet funded cluster
A 14-wallet funded cluster hit Jafel Filho as the price broke down sharply, and this wallet also has a large proven betting history worth monitoring despite the trade size being modest.
$1,407Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 10.8 - 96% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% win rate bought Jafel Filho into a sharp pre-fight volume surge after a fast 18.5-point drop, suggesting they view the dip as value.
$1,492Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.6 - 82% win-rate fight bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 82% win rate bought Cody Durden at 31¢ during a major pre-fight volume surge and early price breakout.
$1,171Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.8 - Perfect-record UFC bettor
A bettor with a perfect 14-for-14 record just made an $8.5k buy that dwarfs this thin UFC market’s recent volume, suggesting conviction worth watching despite the modest composite score.
$8,484Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 2.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x718c5a…50ea$8,484 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x4f226b…6482$1,492 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x6dd631…f5f4$1,407 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$1,171 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden?
The market price on Polymarket reflects the crowd-implied probability for each fighter to win. On PolySpotter, you can follow how those odds move as bettors trade Jafel Filho or Cody Durden before fight night.
What is the smart money doing on Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden?
PolySpotter has tracked $12,554 in smart money activity across 4 signals for this event, including alerts tied to a 96% win-rate sports bettor, an 82% win-rate fight bettor, a perfect-record UFC bettor, and a 14-wallet funded cluster.
When does the Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official result of the fight, with a listed resolution deadline of April 26, 2026 UTC. The official fight result determines whether Jafel Filho or Cody Durden wins the market.
What happens if Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden is a draw or canceled?
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, the market resolves 50-50 according to the event rules.
Is this a market for the whole UFC card or just one fight?
This event hub covers the Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden flyweight prelim market specifically, which is part of UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal.