Event

UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

4 signals across 2 markets · $21,220 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026

Follow Polymarket prediction-market odds for Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov at UFC Fight Night, including the winner market and whether the fight goes the distance. PolySpotter is tracking $8,500 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent signal from a 48-0 serial bettor scaling into a “No” position on the distance market.

Markets (2)

  1. UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)3 signals · $12,720 tracked
  2. Fight to Go the Distance?1 signal · $8,500 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 95% winner adds to Ankalaev

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate added $9,720 to Ankalaev during an 85x volume spike.

    $9,720Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.8
  2. 48-0 serial bettor scales into No

    A proven 48-0 bettor with a substantial edge is adding to a concentrated No position in an extremely thin market.

    $8,500Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.9
  3. Sharp bettor scaling into Ankalaev

    A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an Ankalaev position at 82%.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.9
  4. 97% win-rate serial bettor

    A serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an Ankalaev position at 83%, though the price is already near fair market odds.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9e5e87fd91$9,720 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  2. 0x1a22b57b00$8,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  3. 0x51089c29cb$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  4. 0xd4225e7e43$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Ankalaev vs. Guskov prediction-market odds?

Polymarket odds show the market-implied probabilities for the Ankalaev-Guskov fight outcome and whether the bout goes the distance. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.

What markets are included in the Ankalaev vs. Guskov event?

This event includes a winner market covering Magomed Ankalaev and Bogdan Guskov, plus a child market asking whether the fight will go the distance.

What is smart money doing on Ankalaev vs. Guskov?

PolySpotter has tracked $8,500 in smart-money activity and one signal for this event. A 48-0 serial bettor recently scaled into a “No” position on the Fight to Go the Distance? market.

When does the Ankalaev vs. Guskov market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve by July 26, 2026, after the fight’s official result is available. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, canceled bout, or postponement beyond August 8, 2026 may trigger the market’s stated 50-50 resolution.