UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)
17 signals across 3 markets · $1,025,550 tracked · resolves Jun 7, 2026
This UFC Fight Night hub tracks prediction-market activity for Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa on the prelims, with traders focusing on whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds. PolySpotter has tracked $19,633 in smart money across this event, including a signal tied to a 90% win-rate fight bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 81% win-rate sports whale
A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet led a $245k three-wallet one-sided buy on Alessandro Costa amid a massive pre-fight volume spike.
$245,153Score: 18.5 - 81% sharp UFC whale
A proven 81% winner with $3.49M lifetime profit placed a very large $147K bet on Alessandro Costa amid a huge pre-event volume spike.
$147,236Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 16.3 - Elite sharp on underdog
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 88% long-run win record is taking a fresh underdog position on Matt Schnell at 21¢.
$1,554Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 14.2 - 81% winner betting big
A highly profitable 81% lifetime winner with a long serial cross-market record bought nearly $94k of Alessandro Costa amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$93,967Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 12.8 - Elite sports sharp backing Costa
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% win rate and $3.7M lifetime profit bought $53K of Alessandro Costa amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$53,251Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 12.4 - 81% winner backing Costa
A proven 81% winner with $3.49M lifetime profit made a $107K concentrated buy on Alessandro Costa, far larger than recent market volume.
$107,224Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.4 - Profitable sports whale
A highly profitable, high-volume serial sports trader put $191k on Alessandro Costa amid a major pre-fight volume spike.
$191,178Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 6.6 - Million-profit UFC sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a long 76% track record bought $5.25k of underdog Matt Schnell amid a major pre-fight volume spike.
$5,250Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Perfect-record UFC sharp
Sharp UFC bettor with a perfect 109/109 resolved record and strong lifetime profit is buying Alessandro Costa at 79¢.
$1,319Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader bought a large Yes position in a very thin UFC prop market, representing over half of the market's 24h volume.
$1,118Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$479,279 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$191,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xd81e5b…e3d0$49,098 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x3dfb15…abaf$21,392 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$19,633 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$5,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x369522…c66c$4,480 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x9f2fe0…2ca8$4,097 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
- 0xa2c908…2c23$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$1,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Schnell vs. Costa?
This event page tracks the live prediction-market odds for Schnell vs. Costa, including the O/U 1.5 rounds market. Odds can move as fight week information, weigh-ins, and smart-money trades come in.
What outcomes are being traded for this UFC event?
The child market currently focuses on whether Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa lasts over or under 1.5 rounds, rather than simply picking the fight winner.
What is the smart money doing on Schnell vs. Costa?
PolySpotter has tracked $19,633 in smart money across the event and one recent signal, highlighted by activity from a 90% win-rate fight bettor.
When does the Schnell vs. Costa market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the fight at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, with the listed resolution time by June 7, 2026 UTC.
What happens if the fight is canceled or ruled a no contest?
Under the market rules, if the fight is canceled, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, ruled a no contest, or otherwise not scored, the market resolves 50-50.