UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
12 signals across 2 markets · $481,416 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026
Follow Polymarket prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night lightweight prelim between Mike Davis and Nurullo Aliev. The event tracks both the fight winner and whether it goes over or under 2.5 rounds. PolySpotter has tracked $89,670 in smart money across five signals, with notable activity supporting both fighters and an Under cluster.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner adds to Aliev
A highly profitable serial trader is adding to a Nurullo Aliev position amid an extreme volume spike and activity from six commonly funded wallets.
$1,826Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.9 - Nine-wallet Aliev cluster
Nine linked wallets and an extreme volume spike support a coordinated Nurullo Aliev position, although the tracked bettor is adding to an existing stake rather than opening a fresh trade.
$5,497Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 8.6 - Experienced bettors scale into Aliev
Three wallets added $62,551 to Nurullo Aliev, including two highly experienced profitable bettors, amid a 299.8x volume spike.
$62,551Score: 7.2 - Four-wallet Under cluster with sharp bettor
Four wallets added $14.6K to Under at 34¢ amid a major volume spike, including a proven 83% winner and a profitable long-term bettor.
$15,677Score: 6.9 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit made a concentrated $64.4K wager on Mike Davis at 32–33¢.
$64,436Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.1 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit made a concentrated $64.4K wager on Mike Davis at 32–33¢.
$91,853Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.1 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate deployed nearly $70,000 on Mike Davis amid a 933x pre-event volume spike.
$69,673Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.1 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit made a concentrated $64.4K wager on Mike Davis at 32–33¢.
$62,291Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.1 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit made a concentrated $64.4K wager on Mike Davis at 32–33¢.
$58,825Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.0 - 93% winner backs Mike Davis
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit made a concentrated $64.4K wager on Mike Davis at 32–33¢.
$36,638Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$392,563 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 47% wins
- 0x5d5a68…4289$5,497 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0xab3e08…de25$3,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xc34b49…9296$1,826 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev odds on Polymarket?
The live Polymarket page shows the current market-implied odds for Mike Davis, Nurullo Aliev, and the over/under 2.5-round outcome. Odds can change as traders buy and sell shares.
What is smart money doing in the Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev market?
Smart money activity is mixed. Alerts include a 96% winner adding to Aliev, a nine-wallet Aliev cluster, and separate sharp-bettor activity scaling into Mike Davis. A four-wallet cluster has also backed Under 2.5 rounds.
Which markets are included in this UFC Fight Night event?
The event includes the Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev fight-winner market and an Over/Under 2.5 Rounds market, covering both the winner and expected fight length.
When will the Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the official fight result, by July 26, 2026. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement may result in a 50-50 resolution.