UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
5 signals across 2 markets · $45,976 tracked · resolves Aug 2, 2026
Follow prediction-market odds for Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez. The event hub covers the fight outcome and whether the bout goes over or under 1.5 rounds; PolySpotter has tracked $18,168 in smart money and a recent four-wallet Under cluster.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Under cluster with sharp bettors
Four wallets added $13,215 to Under at 38¢ in a very thin market, including two perfect-record bettors and one highly profitable trader.
$17,674Score: 7.2 - 96% winner backs Oliveira
A highly profitable UFC bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial measured edge bought $7,000 of Michael Oliveira amid an extraordinary volume spike.
$7,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.1 - 97% winner scaling into Oliveira
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $6,440 to an existing Michael Oliveira position amid a major volume spike.
$6,440Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - Serial sharp adding to Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge is adding $13,600 to an existing Under position at 34¢.
$13,600Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.4 - Profitable bettor scaling into Under
A highly profitable cross-market bettor is adding to an already substantial Under position at 38 cents, despite the market pricing Under at 36 cents.
$1,262Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x12afdd…ff78$13,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x823988…d9a3$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$6,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xa3c52f…6930$1,262 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira?
This event page tracks the available Polymarket markets for the fight, including the over/under 1.5 rounds market. Check the live market prices for the latest implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on this UFC fight?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal totaling $18,168 across the event. The latest alert identified a four-wallet cluster of sharp bettors backing Under 1.5 rounds.
What outcomes are traded in the Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira event?
The event covers the official fight winner—Oban Elliott or Michael Oliveira—and the O/U 1.5 rounds market. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, canceled bout, or qualifying postponement may result in a 50-50 resolution for the winner market.
When does the Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 2, 2026, after the official fight result is confirmed. If the bout is canceled or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, the winner market resolves 50-50.