UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)
13 signals across 2 markets · $345,055 tracked · resolves Apr 5, 2026
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Chris Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Chris Duncan" if Chris Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet UFC pile-in
Four wallets piled into Renato Moicano during a violent late price move, and one of them is a large serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing despite the mixed wallet quality.
$10,971Score: 18.5 - 7-wallet sharp sports pile-in
Seven wallets piled into Chris Duncan around 57-59¢, including several large, proven cross-market winners, creating a strong coordinated sports signal worth surfacing.
$35,170Score: 14.8 - 6-wallet UFC pile-in
Six wallets piled into Chris Duncan for $173k in a short burst, led by two highly profitable serial traders and a brand-new wallet making a $142k bet.
$172,701Score: 14.6 - New whale in 4-wallet push
A brand-new wallet with repeated large betting activity joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Chris Duncan with nearly $20k at 57¢ before the market collapsed to 0¢, making it a notable conviction signal even without a proven track record.
$19,549Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 12.5 - 82% winner in 4-wallet pile-in
A high-win-rate sports trader joined a 4-wallet one-sided bet on Chris Duncan before the line collapsed, making this a strong trade to study despite the outcome now being effectively closed.
$1,872Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 11.0 - Sharp bettor in 4-wallet surge
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 69% win rate joined a 4-wallet, $24k one-sided push into Chris Duncan during a major pre-fight volume spike.
$1,235Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 10.0 - Repeat new-wallet whale
A 1-day-old wallet with 23 prior large-bet flags just put $14.4k on Chris Duncan during a 50x pre-event volume spike, suggesting repeat high-conviction action worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
$14,359Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 7.7 - New whale piling into Duncan
A 1-day-old wallet has already made 22 large flagged bets totaling $466k and just put nearly $17k into Chris Duncan in one burst, suggesting unusually strong conviction worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
$16,958Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 6.9 - Profitable new wallet pressing
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits and a huge repeat betting pattern just put another $49k into Chris Duncan, suggesting strong conviction despite this being a fairly liquid UFC market.
$49,249Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0 - 91% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.26M in realized profits just put $16.6k on Chris Duncan, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
$16,554Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5ae14d…9fad$53,466 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 50% wins
- 0x63a51c…8e33$49,249 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x99e42e…e4c4$16,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$2,067 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$1,872 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xd1e618…1dc1$1,770 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x58aa47…a481$1,235 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins