UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)
5 signals across 2 markets · $43,964 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This UFC Fight Night event hub tracks prediction-market odds for Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland, including the fight winner market and the over/under 1.5 rounds market. PolySpotter has flagged $43,964 in smart money across 5 signals, including a sharp 7-wallet Tai cluster, UFC steam activity, and profitable sports bettors backing the favorite.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 7-wallet Tai cluster
Coordinated 7-wallet cluster with multiple profitable bettors bought nearly $30k of Tai, though the market has since moved sharply against them to 9%.
$29,724Score: 32.9 - 96% sports sharp cluster
Highly proven sports wallet with a 96% record, linked-wallet support, and a major pre-event odds move bought Louie Sutherland before the market jumped.
$5,640Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 21.0 - New wallet caught UFC steam
A new wallet bought Louie Sutherland at 88¢ during a sharp UFC line move backed by a 24.5x volume spike, though the wallet has limited track record.
$1,150Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.9 - 82% winner backs favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 82% record and strong edge bought $6.2k of Tai Tuivasa at 69¢.
$6,200Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking Over at near-even odds in a thin UFC rounds market, though the signal is driven mainly by their serial cross-market track record.
$1,250Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x87b6f6…4aba$6,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xefddbb…017f$5,640 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x58aa47…a481$1,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x78bd02…e7c6$1,150 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland?
This event page tracks the live prediction-market pricing for Tuivasa vs. Sutherland across both the fight winner market and the O/U 1.5 rounds market. Odds can move quickly as traders react to news, weigh-ins, and sharp betting activity.
What is smart money doing on Tuivasa vs. Sutherland?
PolySpotter has tracked $43,964 in smart money across 5 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp 7-wallet Tai cluster, a 96% sports-sharp cluster, a new wallet catching UFC steam, and a profitable serial sports bettor getting involved.
Are traders betting only on the winner?
No. This event includes both the main moneyline-style winner market for Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland and a rounds market on whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds.
When does the Tuivasa vs. Sutherland market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official fight result, with the event resolving by May 3, 2026 UTC. If the fight is canceled, postponed beyond the cutoff, ruled a no contest, or ends in a draw/technical draw, the winner market resolves 50-50.
Why use PolySpotter for this UFC prediction market?
PolySpotter highlights wallet-level activity behind the odds, so you can see when sharp clusters, profitable sports bettors, or fresh UFC steam are moving into the Tuivasa vs. Sutherland markets.