UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)
8 signals across 1 market · $114,847 tracked · resolves Apr 19, 2026
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young is a UFC Fight Night lightweight prelim market where traders are pricing which fighter will be officially declared the winner. PolySpotter tracks the Polymarket odds alongside smart money activity, including $114,847 in tracked positioning and alerts from high win-rate UFC bettors and sharp wallets.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 4-wallet UFC pile-in
Four wallets piled nearly $82k into Gauge Young, led by two extremely profitable sports bettors with 89% and 98% win rates, making this coordinated flow worth following despite a liquid market.
$81,894Score: 15.7 - 98% win-rate UFC bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate and strong profits made a fresh $20.9k buy on Gauge Young during a major pre-fight volume surge.
$20,899Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.5 - 97% win-rate sharp
A proven elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and nearly $3.0M in profit bought Thiago Moises as the market was moving up on a volume spike.
$1,570Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 9.8 - 82% win-rate serial trader
A proven sharp sports-style trader with an 82% win rate bought into a fast-moving UFC side before a major price jump, making this a strong momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.
$2,777Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 7.6 - 82% win-rate bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader with 409 resolved bets bought Gauge Young despite the market later moving sharply against them, making this a notable sharp contrarian position worth tracking.
$1,707Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.5 - 82% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports trader with an 82% win rate bought Gauge Young at 84¢ before a strong move to 96%, making this a credible momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.
$1,547Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.1 - 20-0 sharp UFC bettor
A bettor with a perfect 20-for-20 resolved record bought Gauge Young in a relatively thin UFC market, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth surfacing.
$1,213Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.0 - Sharp bettor chasing breakout
A proven profitable UFC bettor with a 79% win rate bought into strong momentum on Gauge Young during a sharp pre-fight volume and price surge.
$3,241Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0767aa…36b0$20,899 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$6,030 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x20a874…f004$3,241 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x14333d…56a0$1,570 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xfed20f…4671$1,213 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing each fighter’s chance to win the lightweight prelim. On PolySpotter, you can follow the market price movement and see whether Thiago Moises or Gauge Young is attracting more betting interest.
What is the smart money doing on Moises vs. Young?
PolySpotter has tracked $114,847 in smart money activity across this fight, with 8 signals so far. Recent alerts include a sharp 4-wallet UFC pile-in and activity from 98%, 97%, and 82% win-rate bettors, making this a market worth watching for informed positioning.
When does the Moises vs. Young prediction market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the official fight result at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. The listed resolution deadline is April 19, 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC.
How does the market resolve if the fight is a draw or canceled?
If the fight ends in a draw or technical draw, is ruled a No Contest, is not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either fighter.
Is this a market for the whole UFC event or just this fight?
This event hub is focused on the Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young lightweight prelim market within UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott. It tracks the tradable outcomes for this specific fight: Moises winning, Young winning, or a 50-50 resolution under special conditions.