UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
5 signals across 1 market · $43,216 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This UFC Fight Night event tracks prediction-market odds for Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg in their flyweight main-card bout. Traders are pricing the head-to-head outcome, with the market resolving to Elliott, Erceg, or 50-50 in edge cases like a draw, no contest, cancellation, or major postponement. PolySpotter has tracked $43,216 in smart money across 5 signals, with recent alerts highlighting multiple sharp and profitable bettors backing Erceg.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked cluster piled into Erceg
Strong UFC signal: six-wallet same-direction Erceg buying, including linked wallets and sharp/experienced bettors, drove the price from about 65¢ to 89¢ amid a major volume spike.
$24,169Score: 18.5 - 94% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate made a $7.1k buy on Steve Erceg, large enough to dominate this market’s recent volume despite relatively thin liquidity.
$7,106Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.3 - 99% winner backing Erceg
A highly profitable UFC/sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying Steve Erceg at 64¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
$3,900Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - Profitable new UFC whale
A 14-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and strong early profits is buying Steve Erceg in a UFC market at 64¢.
$3,398Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.0 - New profitable UFC whale
New profitable wallet is repeatedly making large bets and bought $4.6k of Steve Erceg in a UFC market with meaningful recent price momentum.
$4,643Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x54d2a1…de22$8,041 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x602785…4320$7,106 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x27345a…6d9e$3,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing each fighter’s chance to win the bout. On PolySpotter, you can follow the Elliott vs. Erceg market alongside smart money alerts that show where notable bettors are moving.
Who is smart money backing in Elliott vs. Erceg?
Recent PolySpotter alerts have leaned toward Steve Erceg, including a linked cluster piling into Erceg, a 99% winner backing him, and other profitable UFC whale activity.
How much smart money has been tracked on this UFC market?
PolySpotter has tracked $43,216 in smart money across 5 signals for the Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg event.
When does the Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official fight result, with a listed resolution deadline of May 3, 2026. If the fight is canceled, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, ruled a draw, technical draw, no contest, or not scored, it resolves 50-50.
What does a 50-50 resolution mean for this fight market?
A 50-50 resolution means neither fighter is treated as the winning outcome for settlement. This can happen if the bout ends in a draw or technical draw, is ruled a no contest, is not scored, is canceled, or is postponed beyond the stated cutoff.