UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
2 signals across 1 market · $51,372 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This UFC Fight Night event tracks prediction-market odds for Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan in a light heavyweight prelim bout. Traders are pricing the fight winner, with the market resolving to either fighter or 50-50 if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter has tracked $34,751 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 72% record and positive lifetime P&L placed a large $34.8k bet on Ivan Erslan.
$34,751Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet with $3.0M lifetime P&L placed a sizable $16.6k buy on Ivan Erslan despite only a weak cross-market signal.
$16,621Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8f8c0e…e275$34,751 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x777d9f…5143$16,621 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
FAQs
What are the Tokkos vs. Erslan prediction market odds?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan to win the UFC Fight Night prelim. Odds can move quickly as fight news, weigh-ins, and smart money activity come in.
What is the smart money doing on Tokkos vs. Erslan?
PolySpotter has tracked $34,751 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That activity can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are taking a position.
How does the Tokkos vs. Erslan Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves to Tuco Tokkos or Ivan Erslan if that fighter is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When will the Tokkos vs. Erslan market resolve?
The event is scheduled for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on May 16, 2026, with the Polymarket event expected to resolve by May 17, 2026, after the official result is available.