France vs. Italy
14 signals across 3 markets · $67,405 tracked · resolves Oct 2, 2026
Polymarket tracks the October 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League match between France and Italy with a listed market on whether France will win. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal totaling $1,644, flagged as a profitable serial sports bettor; no current odds are provided here.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet draw-buying cluster
Four wallets placed $6,005 in coordinated Yes buys as the price surged, including a profitable high-volume trader, though the market has already risen beyond their weighted-average entry.
$6,005Score: 7.8 - Four-wallet No cluster with sharp bettors
Four wallets bought No together for $11.3K amid an 18.6x volume spike, including highly experienced profitable traders.
$11,304Score: 6.8 - Three-wallet Yes accumulation
Three wallets added nearly $19k to Yes during a 22x activity spike, with a serial cross-market trader adding context, though the wallets already held sizable positions and the market is liquid.
$18,890Score: 5.9 - 94% winner with $1.1M profit
A highly profitable bettor with 1,752 resolved positions and a 94% win rate is buying No at 87¢, backed by a serial cross-market history.
$1,634Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.6 - 83% winner backing the draw
A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate across 323 resolved positions bought Yes at 46¢, adding strong track-record support to a sizable sports position.
$2,539Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Serial trader adds to Yes amid surge
A serial cross-market trader added to a Yes position as a 45.8x volume spike and sharp price move corroborated the trade, though the market has since reached 100%.
$1,913Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate across 405 resolved positions and extensive cross-market activity bought France Yes.
$1,644Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - 93% winner adds to France position
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate across 482 resolved bets is adding $3,000 to an existing France Yes position, supported by extensive cross-market activity.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial trader backs No
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and extensive cross-market history placed a nearly $3,000 No bet shortly before the market's scheduled end.
$2,976Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial trader backing No
A highly profitable, high-volume trader with 74% wins is backing No, alongside a 13.2x pre-event volume spike.
$2,634Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa2c908…2c23$8,807 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$5,476 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xc23dc0…82c8$3,217 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xe6bf45…16b9$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xd1780c…6703$2,976 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$2,539 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x3bcd09…abb2$1,913 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xd4c3d2…60d9$1,644 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x162ca4…6c47$1,634 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the France vs. Italy prediction-market odds?
The event includes a market asking whether France will win on October 2, 2026. Check the live market page for the latest price, since odds can change and aren’t included in this event information.
What is the smart money doing on France vs. Italy?
PolySpotter tracks one smart-money signal totaling $1,644. Its alert identifies the bettor as a profitable serial sports bettor, but the alert headline alone does not specify a pick.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed child market is whether France will win. The event is for the France–Italy match, but no separate draw or Italy-to-win market is listed in the provided event data.
When does the France vs. Italy market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by October 2, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, according to the provided market information.