Greece vs. Germany
9 signals across 2 markets · $238,738 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
Explore the Polymarket prediction market for Greece vs. Germany in the UEFA Nations League on October 4, 2026. The event features a Germany-to-win market, and PolySpotter reports that a trader it identifies as a proven 99% winner is backing Germany.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet cluster backing No
Three wallets placed about $66,000 on No amid a 23x volume spike, with a strong historical betting record among the detected traders.
$65,994Score: 7.3 - Proven 99% winner backs Germany
A highly profitable bettor with 95 wins in 96 resolved positions and a substantial cross-market track record bought $6,789 of Germany at 53%.
$6,789Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.9 - Proven bettor scaling into No
A bettor with a meaningful 80% record is adding a substantial No position, alongside a sharp volume spike and modest movement toward No.
$68,958Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5 - 92% winner makes an $11K sports bet
A highly profitable bettor with 92% wins across 409 resolved positions has placed an $11,000 fresh bet on Germany at 54¢.
$11,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial trader, multi-market position
A highly experienced, substantially profitable trader bought No while also positioning across three markets in the same event, with a volume spike adding corroboration.
$5,142Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.4 - Proven bettor scaling into No
A bettor flagged at 80% wins across 25 resolved bets is adding nearly $18,000 to an already large No position at 46¢.
$17,928Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial trader adding to No
A highly profitable trader with a 267-bet record is adding to a substantial No position amid a 35x volume spike.
$5,302Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.7 - Proven 88% winner backs No
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and extensive cross-market activity bought No at 76¢.
$1,292Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.7 - New whale scaling into No
An eight-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is adding another $56,333 to an existing No position, though it has no resolved track record.
$56,333Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa379fd…76de$86,886 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x74692b…a5f0$56,333 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$11,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x85f031…3f67$6,789 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x1f3a64…895d$5,302 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$5,142 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xd1780c…6703$1,292 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Greece vs. Germany?
The event page tracks the market asking whether Germany will win. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing on Greece vs. Germany?
PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal across the event, with $6,789 in tracked smart-money activity. Its alert says a trader it labels a proven 99% winner is backing Germany; this is a signal, not a guarantee of the result.
Which outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed child market asks whether Germany will win on October 4, 2026. No separate Greece-win or draw market is listed in this event.
When does the Greece vs. Germany market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, according to the market listing.