Kazakhstan vs. Moldova
8 signals across 2 markets · $38,696 tracked · resolves Oct 2, 2026
Polymarket’s Kazakhstan vs. Moldova event tracks a yes-or-no market on whether Kazakhstan wins their UEFA Nations League match on October 2, 2026. PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal, with a tracked winner adding to Yes; the event has $1,133 in tracked smart money.

Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet No cluster with a profitable veteran
Three wallets placed $15,830 on No amid a 113.6x volume spike, including a highly active trader with a 71% win rate and $8.1M lifetime profit.
$15,830Score: 6.5 - Proven winner adding to Moldova Yes
A proven bettor with a 92% record and strong historical edge added $3,000 to an existing Moldova Yes position amid a sharp volume and price surge.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.6 - 89% winner with $1.16M profit
A highly profitable bettor with 253 resolved positions and an 89% win rate is buying Kazakhstan at 50¢.
$1,552Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and repeated cross-market activity added to an existing No position.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 99% winner adding to Yes
A highly profitable bettor with 158 wins from 160 resolved positions is adding to an existing Yes position at 50¢.
$1,133Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Whale adds during a volume spike
A large existing holder added about $7.7K to Yes during a 49x volume spike and sharp price move, though the wallet lacks a clearly superior track record and the market is now below its entry.
$7,715Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 5.3 - Bettor buying into sharp repricing
A sharp volume surge and 30-point Yes price rise accompanied this bettor’s $6,008 in staged buys, though the late 84¢ entry offers limited value after repricing.
$6,008Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 5.3 - Volume-spike momentum buyer
A 35.4x volume spike and 30-point Yes price rise make this trade notable, though the wallet has no clear proven edge and already holds both sides.
$1,458Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 5.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0346af…52a5$13,723 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x780bfa…7c7d$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x6c26cb…98b9$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xa6d188…286a$1,552 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf58483…3979$1,458 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xb985b5…b70d$1,133 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Kazakhstan vs. Moldova?
The event includes a market asking whether Kazakhstan will win. Check the live market page for current odds, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is the smart money doing on Kazakhstan vs. Moldova?
PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal: a tracked winner added to Yes on Kazakhstan to win. The event shows $1,133 in total tracked smart money.
When is Kazakhstan vs. Moldova, and when does the market resolve?
The UEFA Nations League match is scheduled for October 2, 2026. The event is listed to resolve by 14:00 UTC that day.
What outcome does this event market cover?
The listed child market asks whether Kazakhstan will win. It resolves Yes if Kazakhstan wins and No if Kazakhstan does not win, according to the market’s rules.