Portugal vs. Norway
9 signals across 2 markets · $1,452,262 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
The Portugal vs. Norway Polymarket event covers whether Portugal will win their UEFA Nations League match on October 4, 2026. One tracked smart-money signal shows traders adding to a Portugal-win position, with $2,160 in smart money tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Whale-led Portugal YES surge
A roughly $728K YES surge dwarfs recent market volume, led by a repeat large bettor and joined by a proven 86%-win-rate trader.
$727,642Score: 9.2 - 92%-win bettor leads three-wallet No cluster
Three wallets bought No together, including a bettor with a 92% win rate and a substantial edge over average entry odds.
$3,753Score: 6.9 - 99% winner backs Portugal No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and strong historical edge placed a $5,142 bet on Portugal not to win.
$5,142Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor adds to Portugal position
A proven bettor with an 86% win rate and strong historical edge added to a sizable existing Portugal position amid a sharp volume spike.
$4,657Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor adds to Portugal position
A proven bettor with an 86% win rate and strong historical edge added to a sizable existing Portugal position amid a sharp volume spike.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor buys Portugal
A highly experienced bettor with a strong profitable track record bought Portugal at 58¢ amid a 19.1× volume spike.
$1,740Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.0 - New whale scaling into Portugal Yes
A repeat new-wallet whale added roughly $702K to an existing $1.19M Portugal position amid an extreme volume spike, though its perfect record is based on only three resolved bets.
$702,668Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.9 - Proven 91% winner backs No
A highly profitable bettor with 2,115 resolved positions and a 91% win rate is taking No at 68¢, backed by extensive cross-market activity.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.7 - 95% winner adding to position
A proven bettor with 42 wins in 44 resolved positions and $9,549 profit is adding $2,160 to an existing Portugal Yes position.
$2,160Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe6ca6e…bff4$702,668 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x9a92f7…3c67$7,657 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x85f031…3f67$5,142 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xac9ba2…18eb$2,160 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x66e530…d3c7$1,740 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xa20924…ffbe$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Portugal vs. Norway prediction-market odds?
The market tracks whether Portugal will win the October 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League match. Check the live market for the latest odds, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is smart money doing on Portugal vs. Norway?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal: a 95% winner adding to a position in the Portugal-win market. The event has $2,160 in tracked smart money.
What outcomes are available in this event?
This event currently has one child market: whether Portugal will win. It does not currently list separate draw or Norway-win markets.
When does the Portugal vs. Norway market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026, at 18:45 UTC, in connection with the UEFA Nations League match.