Wales vs. Norway
9 signals across 3 markets · $152,800 tracked · resolves Oct 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the UEFA Nations League match between Wales and Norway, scheduled for October 1, 2026, ends in a draw. Its single market trades Yes or No on a draw; a recent PolySpotter alert reports a large bettor adding to No.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 10-wallet coordinated Wales buying
Ten wallets committed about $65,000 to Wales amid a major volume surge, including a bettor with a strong long-term record and substantial edge.
$65,304Score: 9.4 - Eight-wallet Yes cluster with a proven sharp
Eight wallets put $50,892 behind Yes amid an 11.7x volume spike, including a proven 84%-winner with an existing Yes position.
$65,017Score: 8.8 - Profitable serial trader backs No
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate across 1,810 resolved positions placed a fresh $1,575 bet on No, alongside a volume spike and unusual market movement.
$1,575Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.2 - Proven 90% winner backs No
A highly profitable bettor with 435 resolved positions and a 90% win rate is buying No at 31¢, supported by a long-running cross-market track record.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.4 - 93% winner adding to Norway
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and extensive cross-market activity is adding to a Norway position.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.7 - Large bettor adding to No
A bettor with a very large existing No position added another $11.6K amid an event-wide volume surge and related-market activity, though their long-term record shows little proven edge.
$11,649Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 4.7 - Proven high-volume cross-market trader
A highly profitable trader with a substantial long-term record bought No during a 15.2x pre-event volume spike.
$1,416Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.6 - Proven high-volume cross-market trader
A highly profitable trader with a substantial long-term record bought No during a 15.2x pre-event volume spike.
$1,416Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial trader sells Yes
A highly active, profitable trader sold Yes amid a 29.6x volume spike, creating a defensible No position to follow despite the trade possibly closing an existing position.
$1,825Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x361b16…74fe$11,649 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0xe6bf45…16b9$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$2,832 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x16b251…aa5a$1,825 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x282f81…7c4e$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x5ad5c4…37b9$1,575 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Wales vs. Norway prediction market odds?
The event has one market: whether Wales vs. Norway ends in a draw. Check the live market for the latest Yes and No prices, which reflect the market-implied odds.
What is the Wales vs. Norway market asking?
It asks whether the match will end in a draw. The available outcomes are Yes, a draw, or No, no draw; this event does not include separate markets for which team wins.
What is smart money doing on Wales vs. Norway?
PolySpotter tracks $11,649 in smart money across this event and has recorded one signal. A recent alert says a large bettor is adding to No, indicating activity on the outcome that the match will not end in a draw.
When does the Wales vs. Norway market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026, at 18:45 UTC. Check the market rules for the exact resolution criteria.