Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
9 signals across 2 markets · $38,281 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the Valorant BO3 semifinal between 100 Thieves and Nongshim RedForce at the Esports World Cup Playoffs. Traders are pricing which team will win the match, with PolySpotter tracking $1,401 in smart-money activity and a recent signal from a profitable serial esports bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster caught move
Four wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, bought 100 Thieves around 50–59¢ before the price jumped to 78¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$5,349Score: 7.6 - 95% winner doubling down
A highly profitable 95% win-rate serial esports bettor added a large Nongshim position despite the market later moving sharply against them.
$15,900Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 89% sharp underdog bettor
A highly profitable wallet with an 89% historical win rate and extensive cross-market history bought the underdog, though the market has since moved against the entry.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.4 - 88% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and strong profit is building a 100 Thieves position despite the market moving slightly against them.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.2 - 79% serial sharp
Proven high-volume bettor with a 79% historical win rate and $4.1M profit is buying Nongshim at 56¢ in a liquid Valorant semifinal market.
$2,411Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.7 - 79% serial sharp
Proven high-volume bettor with a 79% historical win rate and $4.1M profit is buying Nongshim at 56¢ in a liquid Valorant semifinal market.
$7,338Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Nongshim at 56¢, though the individual trade size is modest.
$1,184Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3 - Profitable trader flipped sides
Profitable high-volume trader flipped from 100 Thieves to Nongshim as Nongshim moved sharply higher, suggesting a live momentum/information edge.
$1,218Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.8 - Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is buying 100 Thieves at 43¢, though the trade size is modest.
$1,401Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf07020…ac55$15,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$9,749 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0xa4fd70…748b$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xd05206…563d$1,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$1,401 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xf3ef6a…ca6b$1,218 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$1,184 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce odds on Polymarket?
The event reflects market-implied odds for which team wins the best-of-three Valorant playoff match. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing plus smart-money activity around the event.
What is the smart money doing on this Valorant match?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,401 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent alert involving a profitable serial esports bettor. Check the event page for the latest side, size, and timing of tracked bets.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
The event covers the match winner: 100 Thieves to win the BO3 or Nongshim RedForce to win the BO3. It is not a map-by-map market.
When does the 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the match result is final. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated event criteria.