Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
3 signals across 2 markets · $55,107 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether JD Vance will physically visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026, with Yes and No outcomes traded in the market. PolySpotter reports that three bettors recently added about $27,000 to No, making it the key smart-money signal so far.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Whale adds into thin-book breakout
A $2,014 add-on buy represented 75% of daily volume and pushed Yes sharply beyond its historical range, though the wallet has a weak track record and the market is now expensive.
$2,014Wallet win rate: 39%Score: 6.1 - Three-wallet bullish Ukraine cluster
Three wallets coordinated $26,031 in selling No, implying a fresh buy-Yes position around 11¢, with price momentum and one notably strong bettor supporting the signal.
$26,031Score: 5.1 - Three bettors add $27K to No
Three experienced bettors simultaneously added $27,062 to No in a thin market, creating a meaningful concentrated signal despite the already-high 90% implied probability.
$27,062Score: 4.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd69add…f661$2,014 · 1 market · 1 alert · 39% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds that JD Vance will visit Ukraine?
The event page tracks live Yes and No prices for whether JD Vance visits Ukraine by December 31, 2026. Odds can change as traders buy and sell shares.
What is the prediction market about?
The market resolves Yes if JD Vance physically enters Ukraine's terrestrial or maritime territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Entering Ukrainian airspace alone does not count as a visit.
What is smart money betting on in this Ukraine market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal: three bettors collectively added approximately $27,000 to No, indicating a notable position against a visit occurring by the deadline.
When does the JD Vance Ukraine market resolve?
The market resolves after the December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, with the event scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at 4:59 AM UTC.