Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
8 signals across 3 markets · $32,294 tracked · resolves May 22, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury WNBA matchup on May 21. The active market centers on the Phoenix Mercury -3.5 spread, while PolySpotter has flagged smart-money interest with 88% winner backing the Sparks.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% winner backs Sparks
Elite sports wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and $2.5M profit bought Los Angeles Sparks against the spread at 52¢.
$2,011Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 10.0 - Perfect-record sharp exits favorite
Surfaced because this is an exceptional sharp wallet with a 99/99 resolved record and strong lifetime profit, even though the trade appears to close a prior Phoenix position rather than open a fresh Sparks stake.
$3,452Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.0 - 99% winner with cross-market edge
Elite 99% winning wallet with strong cross-market history bought $5,000 into a major pre-game volume spike despite the price later pulling back.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.7 - 94% winner on totals
Sharp WNBA bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and +$12.8k P&L bought $2k of Over near even odds shortly before game time.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a strong long-term record is buying Over at near-even odds, though the trade size is modest for this liquid market.
$2,277Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader put a $10.2k bet on Over at even odds in a relatively small WNBA totals market.
$10,197Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0 - 99-0 sharp sports bettor
Surface despite the weak automated signal because this wallet has an extraordinary 99-0 resolved record and large positive P&L, making the Phoenix Mercury buy a strong copy-trade candidate.
$3,420Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 1.0 - 90% winner backs Phoenix
Sharp-wallet override: despite a weak automated signal, this wallet has a 90% record over 48 resolved bets and bought Phoenix for nearly $4k.
$3,937Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x777d9f…5143$12,474 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0xafe427…f3f7$6,872 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x698204…a165$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x9bc438…4730$3,937 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$2,011 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xd181c8…5136$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Sparks vs Mercury prediction market odds?
This Polymarket event currently focuses on the spread market: Phoenix Mercury -3.5. PolySpotter tracks the latest market pricing and smart-money activity as bettors trade the expected outcome.
What is the smart money doing on Sparks vs Mercury?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,011 in smart-money activity across this event, with a recent signal showing 88% winner backing the Los Angeles Sparks.
Is this event about the moneyline or the spread?
The listed child market for this event is the spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5). That means traders are pricing whether Phoenix can win by more than 3.5 points, rather than simply who wins the game.
When does the Sparks vs Mercury market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the May 21 WNBA game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the game is played; if canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.