Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces
9 signals across 4 markets · $26,184 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces is a WNBA prediction market hub for the July 11 matchup, centered on the Aces -10.5 spread. PolySpotter is tracking $1,078 in smart money activity, including a notable signal that a 92% winner is backing the Aces to cover.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp-led spread cluster
Worth surfacing because a highly profitable 80% win-rate bettor is adding to Aces -9.5 alongside two other wallets during a pre-game volume spike.
$7,018Score: 7.3 - 80% winner adding to spread
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and strong cross-market history is adding to an existing Aces spread position during a pre-game volume spike.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.8 - 95% winner backs underdog spread
Elite tracked sports bettor with a 95% win rate and major lifetime profit bought Phoenix +8.5 at 51¢.
$1,283Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.6 - 92% winner backs Aces spread
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and large lifetime profit is buying Las Vegas Aces against the spread in a relatively small WNBA market.
$1,078Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4 - Proven sports sharp
Surfacing because this is a proven high-volume sports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate and $5.27M profit taking Phoenix +8.5 at 53¢.
$1,288Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7 - 77% cross-market sharp
Proven profitable wallet with a 77% win rate and extensive cross-market sports history is buying Las Vegas at 76¢ while also positioned across related event markets.
$2,607Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7 - New wallet scaling in
A brand-new wallet is quickly building a sizable Aces spread position ahead of the game, supported by a sharp pre-event volume spike but with no proven track record yet.
$3,376Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is adding to an existing Phoenix Mercury spread position amid a pre-game volume spike.
$2,788Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is adding to an existing Phoenix Mercury spread position amid a pre-game volume spike.
$4,546Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf6683d…5c69$7,334 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x6e82b9…752c$3,895 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0xd3f551…4e90$3,376 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x627710…5a3f$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xd81e5b…e3d0$1,283 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x602785…4320$1,078 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction market odds?
This event currently focuses on the Las Vegas Aces -10.5 spread market, where traders are betting on whether the Aces can win by more than 10.5 points against the Phoenix Mercury.
What is the smart money doing on Mercury vs. Aces?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,078 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal: a trader with a 92% win rate backing the Aces spread.
What does Aces -10.5 mean?
Aces -10.5 means Las Vegas must win by at least 11 points for that side of the spread market to pay out. If they win by 10 or fewer, or lose the game, the other side wins.
When does the Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces market resolve?
The market resolves after the final score is official, including overtime if played. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.