Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty
7 signals across 3 markets · $32,810 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty is a WNBA prediction-market event centered on the game outcome and the New York Liberty -6.5 spread. PolySpotter is tracking $1,044 in smart money activity so far, including a sharp WNBA spread-bettor signal that may help explain where informed traders are leaning.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 98% winner on spread
Elite sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3.1k of Phoenix Mercury +5.5 at 52¢.
$3,069Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.0 - 92% winning sports sharp
Elite proven wallet with 92% win rate and $800k profit is buying New York Liberty despite the market being liquid.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - Sharp live-game bettor
Sharp profitable wallet bought $10.5k of Phoenix at 35¢ minutes before resolution, combining a strong track record with live-game timing.
$10,530Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 7.9 - Sharp live-sports bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% resolved win rate and $2.45M lifetime profit bought $9.2k of Phoenix Mercury at 35¢ moments before market close.
$9,249Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.2 - Sharp WNBA spread bettor
Sharp bettor override: wallet has an 82% resolved win rate and +$168,834 lifetime P&L, making this Phoenix Mercury spread buy worth surfacing despite a modest $1k size.
$1,044Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 2.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with $311k lifetime P&L is taking Phoenix at 35¢ in a relatively quiet WNBA market.
$1,266Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 2.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and $2.45M lifetime profit is buying Phoenix Mercury at 35¢.
$2,651Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4bff30…fc26$22,430 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 77% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xafe427…f3f7$3,069 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x21468a…d41b$1,266 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x8cbfd0…0eb4$1,044 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks the prediction-market pricing for Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty, including the traded spread market on New York Liberty -6.5. Odds can move as traders react to injuries, lineup news, betting volume, and game-day information.
What does the New York Liberty -6.5 spread market mean?
A New York Liberty -6.5 spread market is based on whether the Liberty win by more than 6.5 points. If they win by 7 or more, the spread side covers; if the Mercury win or lose by 6 or fewer, the other side wins.
Is smart money betting on Mercury vs. Liberty?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,044 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent alert tied to a sharp WNBA spread bettor. That signal suggests an informed trader has taken a notable position in the spread market.
When does the Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty market resolve?
The market is tied to the WNBA game scheduled for May 29 at 7:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.