Event

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

49 signals across 3 markets · $217,692 tracked · resolves Jul 20, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot race, focused on whether Kylian Mbappé will finish as the tournament’s top goalscorer. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,112 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal showing 87% winner buying interest on a longshot-style position.

Markets (3)

  1. Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?23 signals · $116,738 tracked
  2. Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?23 signals · $95,218 tracked
  3. Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $5,736 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Perfect-record sharp bettor

    Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a perfect 40/40 resolved record and over $2M profit buying Mbappe Yes at 25¢.

    $6,150Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.0
  2. Perfect-record sharp bettor

    Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a perfect 40/40 resolved record and over $2M profit buying Mbappe Yes at 25¢.

    $2,124Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.0
  3. Perfect-record sharp bettor

    Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a perfect 40/40 resolved record and over $2M profit buying Mbappe Yes at 25¢.

    $1,098Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.0
  4. 93% winner adding Yes

    High-performing serial cross-market wallet is adding to an existing Mbappe Yes position, with a large linked-wallet cluster behind the same funder.

    $5,130Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.6
  5. 93% winner adding Yes

    High-performing serial cross-market wallet is adding to an existing Mbappe Yes position, with a large linked-wallet cluster behind the same funder.

    $1,680Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.6
  6. 86% serial cross-market winner

    Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and strong cross-market record bought $5k of Messi top-scorer Yes despite the market later moving lower.

    $1,553Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 9.5
  7. Elite 88% winner buying Yes

    Sharp cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and $1.6M profit bought Mbappe Yes despite a recent 15-point move higher.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0
  8. Elite sharp buying 6¢ longshot

    A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate is buying Messi top-scorer Yes at long odds.

    $2,058Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.0
  9. 87% winner buying longshot

    Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $659k lifetime profit bought Mbappe top scorer at 16¢.

    $2,112Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 8.0
  10. 86% serial cross-market winner

    Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and strong cross-market record bought $5k of Messi top-scorer Yes despite the market later moving lower.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa022ba77f8$29,849 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  2. 0x60e4dfc771$19,718 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
  3. 0x2ce8504527$9,514 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
  4. 0x85f0313f67$9,372 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 98% wins
  5. 0x4154ffe7a8$9,019 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 85% wins
  6. 0xfb64655e23$8,561 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
  7. 0x9c987ff4f4$6,810 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
  8. 0x1f7105b2e4$6,105 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
  9. 0xa4fd70748b$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  10. 0xdb859a152f$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the World Cup Golden Boot prediction market odds?

This event reflects Polymarket trading on the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot, currently centered on whether Kylian Mbappé will be the tournament’s top goalscorer. The live market price can be used as a prediction-market estimate of his chances.

Is smart money betting on Kylian Mbappé to win the Golden Boot?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,112 in smart money across this event and one recent signal. The latest alert highlighted 87% winner buying a longshot-style position, suggesting notable informed-trader interest in the market.

How does this World Cup Golden Boot market resolve?

The market resolves to the player who scores the most goals across the main rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If players are tied, it follows FIFA’s official leader rules, with further tiebreakers based on penalty goals and then alphabetical order if needed.

When will the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve by July 20, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup has concluded and the official top goalscorer is known.

Where can I track World Cup Golden Boot Polymarket activity?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor this event’s Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and trading activity around the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot race.