World Cup Group D Winner
9 signals across 2 markets · $61,592 tracked · resolves Jun 27, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the winner of Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The current child market focuses on whether the USA will win the group, with PolySpotter tracking $1,500 in smart money activity and a recent signal showing 90% winner buying on Yes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite 99% cross-market bettor
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit bought No on Paraguay winning Group D, backed by a serial cross-market pattern.
$1,377Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - 80% winner buying favorite
A highly proven 80% win-rate wallet with $617k lifetime profit bought Yes at 80¢ and has extensive cross-market history, making the wallet itself a strong copy-trade signal.
$2,657Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
$5,660Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.5 - New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
$5,900Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 761-bet history is making a large No bet that accounts for most of recent volume on a quiet World Cup group market.
$4,860Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 4.0 - Repeat whale buying momentum
A repeat large bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $20k of Yes at 90¢ during a 58x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
$19,819Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.3 - Profitable repeat wallet chasing momentum
A repeat-flagged, profitable wallet bought $10.1k of Yes at 90¢ amid a 43.5x volume spike and strong upward price momentum.
$10,104Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.1 - Repeat whale buying momentum
A repeat large bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $20k of Yes at 90¢ during a 58x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
$9,715Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 1.0 - 90% winner buying Yes
Surface despite the weak alert score because the buyer is a proven sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa87d59…e4bf$39,638 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x51eafa…150f$11,560 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
- 0xc44d64…935c$4,860 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$2,657 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x70c9df…caf5$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x40ce68…bf90$1,377 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the World Cup Group D winner odds on Polymarket?
This event page tracks Polymarket odds for who will win Group D at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Right now, the listed market is focused on whether the USA will finish first in Group D.
Is smart money betting on the USA to win Group D?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,500 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent alert showing 90% winner buying Yes on the USA Group D market.
What does “USA to win Group D” mean?
It means the USA must finish first in Group D during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. If teams are tied, FIFA’s official tiebreak procedures determine the group winner.
When does the World Cup Group D Winner market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the Group D winner is determined during the 2026 World Cup group stage, which is expected to run through June 27, 2026.
What happens if Group D is not completed?
If the group stage is cancelled, postponed beyond September 30, 2026, or no official Group D winner is declared by then, the event rules say the market resolves to “Other.”