World Cup Group K Winner
13 signals across 2 markets · $29,688 tracked · resolves Jun 27, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the winner of Group K at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The current child market focuses on whether Portugal will win the group, with PolySpotter tracking smart-money activity and notable betting signals around that outcome.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet funded cluster
An 8-wallet funded cluster with repeat cross-market activity is buying Portugal Yes, though the individual wallet’s historical P&L is weak.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 10.0 - Elite 88% winner buys NO
Surfacing because this is a highly proven wallet with an 88% win rate and $608k lifetime profit buying Portugal No at 38¢.
$1,216Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - 97% winner buying dip
Elite sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and over $1M profit is buying Portugal to win Group K despite recent price weakness.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 9.0 - 96% winner backs Portugal
Elite long-term profitable wallet bought Portugal Yes at 63¢, with a 96% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record.
$1,463Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - Profitable wallets moving together
Three profitable, active wallets bought $7.8k of Portugal Yes together, adding to a 5.5-point move in a reasonably liquid World Cup group market.
$7,818Score: 6.1 - Proven sports cross-market bettor
Surface because a proven 76% winner with positive lifetime P&L and extensive cross-market history bought Portugal Yes at 54¢.
$4,896Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and +$55.7k P&L bought Portugal Yes at 66¢.
$1,026Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new wallet buying Yes
A repeat-flagged new wallet with early profits is buying Colombia Yes after a notable 1-day price move, though the track record is still small.
$2,754Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new repeat bettor
A young repeat bettor with early profits is adding another $2,000 to Portugal Yes at 65¢, though the track record is still small.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor trimming No
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor is exiting a prior No position, which weakly points toward buying Yes but is more likely profit-taking than fresh conviction.
$2,316Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe7fd3f…89de$4,896 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xe4dbe0…7ea1$3,795 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x6a32a3…0086$2,316 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x304b5a…8ac5$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x1eaf5d…9bf0$1,743 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$1,463 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x723619…ea53$1,216 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x1f7105…b2e4$1,215 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x04e684…3914$1,026 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the World Cup Group K winner?
The event centers on the market for Portugal to win Group K at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. PolySpotter tracks the latest prediction-market pricing and smart-money movement so you can see how traders are valuing Portugal’s chances.
Is Portugal expected to win Group K?
Portugal is the listed outcome currently being traded in this event, and its market price reflects the crowd’s implied probability of winning the group. Smart-money signals can help show whether experienced bettors are backing or fading that view.
What is the smart money doing on this World Cup Group K market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,026 in smart-money activity across this event, including a signal from a sharp serial sports bettor. That activity may indicate where more sophisticated prediction-market traders see value.
When does the World Cup Group K Winner market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, which runs June 11–27, 2026. It will resolve based on the official Group K winner, including FIFA’s tiebreak procedures if needed.
How does this Polymarket event resolve if Group K is delayed or cancelled?
If the group stage is cancelled, postponed beyond September 30, 2026, or no official Group K winner is declared by then, the market will resolve to “Other” under the event rules.