Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk
12 signals across 1 market · $121,292 tracked · resolves May 8, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks which player, Mirra Andreeva or Marta Kostyuk, will advance from their scheduled May 1, 2026 match. PolySpotter has tracked $121,292 in smart money across 12 signals, with recent alerts highlighting profitable wallets and high-win-rate traders backing Kostyuk, plus underdog-cluster buying activity.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable whale backing Kostyuk
A highly profitable 80% winner put most of a $17.6k Kostyuk cluster into a tennis market seeing a major pre-event volume spike, though there is some opposing Andreeva flow.
$17,553Score: 16.9 - 94% winner backs Kostyuk
Elite 94% win-rate wallet bought Marta Kostyuk alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and major price impact.
$4,667Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 16.5 - Sharp cluster buying collapsed underdog
High-scoring 11-wallet cluster bought $45k of Mirra Andreeva, including two very strong sports/event traders, though the market has moved sharply against them to 8¢.
$44,979Score: 16.3 - 7-wallet underdog cluster
High-score coordinated flow: 7 wallets put $29.2k on Mirra Andreeva at underdog prices, including linked wallets and one bettor with a 91% record.
$29,182Score: 15.3 - 91% winner joins Kostyuk flow
Elite 91% sports bettor joined a one-sided Kostyuk move alongside 5 wallets and a volume spike, making this worth monitoring despite the price pulling back.
$1,082Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.5 - 5-wallet Kostyuk push
Coordinated Kostyuk buying from 5 wallets plus a profitable 76% winner makes this worth watching despite the price retracing from the bettor's 69¢ entry to 50¢.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 10.5 - 4-wallet Mirra buying wave
High composite from coordinated Mirra buying plus a 63x volume spike, though the featured wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this more of a flow/momentum signal than a proven-sharp bettor.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 9.8 - 94% winner caught Kostyuk move
Elite 94% win-rate sports bettor bought Kostyuk at 51¢ before a major move to 70¢, with strong cross-market history and volume spike corroboration.
$3,593Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.7 - Profitable bettor joins Mirra cluster
Profitable serial sports trader joined a same-direction Mirra Andreeva buy cluster during a 39x volume spike, making this worth surfacing.
$5,500Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 8.7 - Profitable sports sharp buying Kostyuk
Highly profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and extensive cross-market history bought Kostyuk before a sharp move from 44% to 52%.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xba8179…dc35$8,260 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$8,056 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xc18194…6e97$5,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x4f7582…af7e$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$1,480 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xd38ad2…8d26$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xed9953…2677$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$1,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Andreeva vs Kostyuk odds on Polymarket?
The market price reflects the crowd-implied probability that either Mirra Andreeva or Marta Kostyuk advances. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest odds and price movement.
What is the smart money doing on Andreeva vs Kostyuk?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable Kostyuk interest, including a profitable whale backing Kostyuk, a 94% winner buying Kostyuk, and a 91% winner joining the Kostyuk flow.
Why are traders watching Kostyuk in this market?
Kostyuk has appeared in multiple smart money signals, including whale activity and high-win-rate wallet buying. PolySpotter also flagged a sharp cluster buying the collapsed underdog, suggesting some sophisticated traders saw value after a price move.
When does the Andreeva vs Kostyuk market resolve?
The market resolves based on which player advances in the Madrid Open match. It is listed to resolve by May 8, 2026, and may be affected if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s resolution rules.