Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff
14 signals across 1 market · $34,963 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance between Sorana Cirstea and Coco Gauff, with traders pricing both possible match outcomes. PolySpotter has tracked $34,963 in smart money across 14 signals, including recent sharp-cluster activity moving toward Cirstea and alerts from high win-rate sports bettors.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster flips to Cirstea
Three wallets coordinated into Sorana Cirstea, including two strong long-term winners, and one trader flipped out of an existing Coco Gauff position as the market moved sharply.
$3,415Score: 14.9 - 93% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Coco Gauff during a huge pre-match volume spike after a sharp price drop, making this a credible copy-trade signal.
$2,118Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 12.1 - 4-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets piled into Sorana Cirstea at once, led by a serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate, and their buying helped push the price sharply higher.
$5,530Score: 11.2 - 80% win-rate early buyer
A proven 80% win-rate sports trader bought Coco Gauff at 35¢ into a major volume spike before the market moved up to 41¢, suggesting a sharp early entry.
$1,471Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 10.1 - 74% winner fades Gauff
A proven 74% win-rate sports trader joined a 3-wallet one-sided move into Sorana Cirstea, and the trade can be copied by buying the opposite side of their Coco Gauff sell at an implied 62¢.
$1,022Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 10.1 - Sharp trader flips sides
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate flipped from a prior Gauff position into Sorana alongside two other wallets after a sharp 17.6-point move, making this a notable contrarian buy despite the modest size.
$1,385Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 9.8 - 3-wallet Gauff pile-in
Three wallets with broad cross-market experience bought Coco Gauff within minutes at 60-70¢ before the price jumped to 76%, signaling coordinated directional conviction despite only moderate historical edge.
$5,533Score: 9.8 - 93% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with broad cross-market success bought Coco Gauff at 47¢ right after a sharp move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
$2,739Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.5 - 4-wallet Gauff pile-in
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Coco Gauff before a sharp market move, creating a potentially attractive follow despite this being a liquid sports market.
$1,075Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.6 - Sharp bettor re-entering favorite
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate re-entered Coco Gauff during a sharp pre-match move, suggesting fresh conviction despite this being a liquid market.
$2,142Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xba8179…dc35$4,857 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$4,677 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xb58529…53ed$3,085 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$3,072 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xede051…ff11$1,471 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xcc36ae…53c3$1,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x2735e7…42eb$1,075 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x8f764c…aea6$1,022 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Cirstea vs Gauff?
The market prices represent the implied probability that Sorana Cirstea or Coco Gauff advances in their Madrid Open match. Check the live market on this page for the latest odds, since tennis prices can move quickly before and during the match.
What is the smart money doing on Cirstea vs Gauff?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show a sharp cluster flipping to Cirstea, a 4-wallet sharp cluster, and an 80% win-rate early buyer. There was also a signal noting a 74% winner fading Gauff, suggesting notable sharp interest against the favorite side.
Who are sharp bettors backing in this prediction market?
The latest alerts point to increased sharp activity on Cirstea, including cluster buying and high win-rate bettor involvement. That does not guarantee the result, but it highlights where tracked profitable wallets have recently placed their money.
When does the Cirstea vs Gauff market resolve?
The market resolves after the Madrid Open match has a winner and one player advances. It is expected to resolve by May 3, 2026, unless cancellation or delay rules apply.
What happens if Cirstea vs Gauff is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the market’s stated window, the market follows Polymarket’s resolution rules rather than resolving to either player.