Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova
16 signals across 1 market · $99,293 tracked · resolves Jun 24, 2026
This event tracks the Grass Court Championships match between Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova, with the market pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $15,000 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal that a 95% winner-backed trader is backing Keys.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet Keys momentum cluster
High-scoring tennis alert with 8 wallets buying Madison Keys, a 64.5x volume spike, and a 30-point price move, though there is notable opposing Muchova flow.
$12,397Score: 22.1 - 96% winner backing Muchova
Elite tennis/cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and +$1.5M P&L bought Karolina Muchova for $9.8k.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 16.1 - Sharp bettor in 7-wallet wave
Surfacing because a highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet bought Muchova alongside strong one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$1,160Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 14.1 - 96% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor led a $13k one-sided move into Karolina Muchova at 26¢, alongside a major volume spike and price move to 32¢.
$7,376Score: 12.9 - 7-wallet contrarian tennis flow
High composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market trader joining a 7-wallet, $84.6k one-sided Muchova buy wave during a major volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against them.
$3,885Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 12.1 - 96% winner backing Muchova
Elite tennis/cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and +$1.5M P&L bought Karolina Muchova for $9.8k.
$9,674Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 10.3 - 89% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate bought Madison Keys as the price rapidly moved upward.
$2,304Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.9 - 96% winner backing Muchova
Elite tennis/cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and +$1.5M P&L bought Karolina Muchova for $9.8k.
$9,800Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 8.0 - 82% serial sports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% record bought Madison Keys despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0 - Profitable tennis sharp early
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Madison Keys at 45¢ before a major volume spike and a move to 71¢.
$3,133Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 7.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$29,474 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x526852…135d$16,601 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xc23dc0…82c8$4,966 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$4,258 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x54bab0…04e4$3,885 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xf5d33c…e1df$1,682 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xf03b3b…3ba1$1,293 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xa80439…2a75$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x18f313…0c20$1,160 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova odds on Polymarket?
The event market reflects live prediction-market odds for which player will advance: Madison Keys or Karolina Muchova. Prices can move as traders react to form, grass-court matchups, injuries, and pre-match news.
What is the smart money doing on Keys vs Muchova?
PolySpotter has tracked $15,000 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert showed a 95% winner-backed trader taking a position on Madison Keys.
How does this Keys vs Muchova prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Madison Keys if Keys advances against Karolina Muchova, and to Karolina Muchova if Muchova advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated resolution rules, the market follows Polymarket’s event terms.
When does the Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 17, 2026, and the event is set to resolve by June 24, 2026, depending on whether a winner is determined under the market rules.