Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova
8 signals across 2 markets · $65,226 tracked · resolves May 7, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction-market hub tracks Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova, including both the match-winner market and the Kostyuk -1.5 / Potapova +1.5 set handicap. PolySpotter is monitoring more than $65,000 in smart-money activity across the event, with recent signals from high win-rate sports traders on both Kostyuk and Potapova.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- $6M sharp leads 8-wallet cluster
High-confidence Potapova flow led by two very profitable wallets and an 8-wallet same-side cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.
$23,304Score: 21.4 - 95% win-rate sports sharp
Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Marta Kostyuk at 84¢.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 10.4 - 93% winner, $635k profit
Highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record is buying Marta Kostyuk at 73¢.
$3,473Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.0 - 94% winner backs Potapova
Proven high-edge wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought $4.1k of Potapova at near-even odds.
$4,106Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 94% sports sharp buying Kostyuk
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% record is buying Marta Kostyuk with meaningful size.
$5,571Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 3-wallet Potapova momentum cluster
Three wallets bought the Potapova side together and drove a sharp 12–19 point odds move, though the traders' histories are mixed and the entry has already moved materially.
$7,310Score: 7.2 - Profitable serial bettor backs favorite
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.8M profit bought $13.8k of Kostyuk amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$13,771Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.2 - Proven bettor caught breakout
A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Marta Kostyuk before a major 36-point move, with supporting volume spike and price impact signals.
$5,192Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 3.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$13,771 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xba8179…dc35$9,043 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x04b954…79e0$5,192 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xbd52ad…df69$4,106 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Kostyuk vs Potapova?
The event includes live prediction-market pricing for who advances between Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova, plus a set handicap market. Odds can move quickly as traders react to lineups, form, injuries, and smart-money buying.
What is the smart money doing on Kostyuk vs Potapova?
PolySpotter has tracked $65,226 in smart-money activity across this event, including alerts from a $6M sharp-led wallet cluster, a 95% win-rate sports sharp, and traders with strong historical profit records. Recent signals show sharp interest on both Kostyuk and Potapova.
Is there a set handicap market for this Madrid Open match?
Yes. In addition to the outright match-winner market, this event includes a set handicap market: Kostyuk -1.5 sets versus Potapova +1.5 sets, letting traders price not just who wins but how decisive the result may be.
When does the Kostyuk vs Potapova market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the official Madrid Open result, with the listed resolution deadline of May 7, 2026 at 19:30 UTC. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.
Why track this match on PolySpotter instead of only checking odds?
PolySpotter adds context behind the odds by surfacing notable wallet activity, sharp-trader signals, and clusters of profitable bettors. For this event, that includes multiple high win-rate sports sharp alerts and over $65K in tracked smart-money volume.